A new report from market analyst Sam Daodu outlines three possible directions for XRP’s price this month, with the outcome hinging on the progress of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act. Daodu expects the bill to reach some form of resolution within the remaining two weeks of April, suggesting the coming days will determine whether XRP continues its consolidation or breaks out of its current trading range.
Why April is Crucial
Daodu notes the Banking Committee has roughly two weeks to schedule a vote on the CLARITY Act before midterm politics begin to dominate the Senate’s agenda. This creates a narrow window where major obstacles could be resolved rather than accumulating.
Regarding XRP’s trading pattern, Daodu observes the token has largely been range-bound between approximately $1.28 and $1.45 for most of 2026. He believes April could decide whether this range persists for the rest of the year or gives way to a more decisive trend.
Three Scenarios for XRP
Daodu presents three scenarios tied to events expected in the next two weeks:
1. Bullish Case: The Banking Committee schedules a markup before May. Daodu argues that even setting a markup date could lift XRP’s price ahead of a final vote. If the bill passes, he suggests XRP ETF inflows could increase by an additional $4 to $8 billion on top of the roughly $1.2 billion already attracted by spot ETFs. The first technical hurdle would be the $1.45 resistance level, where about 60% of XRP’s circulating supply was purchased, creating a “break-even” wall of holders. A break above $1.45 could target $1.60.
2. Base Case: Roundtable discussions by the SEC proceed well, but the committee does not set a markup date. In this outcome, Daodu expects XRP to remain within its established yearly range. While the April 16 roundtable might provide a short-term boost, he believes the lack of a concrete markup date removes a strong enough catalyst for a sustained breakout above $1.40. He projects XRP would then close April between $1.30 and $1.40, a modest improvement over March’s $1.33 close but not a decisive shift.
3. Bear Case: The markup is delayed beyond May, and the market interprets this as a failure rather than a temporary setback. Daodu highlights additional pressure from real-world events, such as the expiration of a ceasefire on April 22 and the recent collapse of talks in Islamabad. If tensions escalate and oil prices climb back above $110, XRP could lose its $1.28 support and potentially fall toward $1.15. At current levels around $1.33, this would represent a drop of roughly 13%.
For now, clarity on this key regulatory issue remains pending.
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQs XRP Price The CLARITY Act
BeginnerLevel Questions
1 What is the CLARITY Act and why does it matter for XRP
The CLARITY Act is a proposed US law aimed at creating clear rules for when a cryptocurrency is considered a security This matters for XRP because its current legal status has been uncertain causing major price volatility Clear rules would remove a huge cloud of uncertainty hanging over the asset
2 How could the CLARITY Act affect XRPs price
The Act could affect XRPs price by changing how its regulated If the law clarifies that XRP is not a security it could lead to a major price surge due to renewed investor confidence and easier adoption by US financial institutions If it classifies XRP as a security the price could drop due to increased regulatory burdens
3 What are the three main price scenarios for XRP based on this law
Bullish Scenario The Act clearly exempts XRP from being a security Price likely rises significantly
Bearish Scenario The Act defines XRP as a security imposing strict rules Price likely falls
NeutralMixed Scenario The law passes but leaves some ambiguity or imposes moderate rules Price may see volatile sideways movement as the market digests the details
4 Is XRP considered a security right now
In the US the situation is mixed Ripple won a key court ruling in 2023 stating that XRP itself is not a security when sold to the general public However the SECs case is not fully resolved and the regulatory landscape remains unclear until Congress passes definitive laws like the CLARITY Act
Advanced Practical Questions
5 Beyond the legal classification what specific provisions in the Act should I watch for
Watch for definitions of decentralization rules for secondary market trading and requirements for issuers Specifically see if the Act creates a safe harbor for assets that were once sold as securities but are now sufficiently decentralizedthis could be crucial for XRP
6 Could the CLARITY Act have a different impact on XRP than on other cryptocurrencies
Yes absolutely XRP is unique because of its ongoing SEC lawsuit and its use by Ripple for institutional payments The