Bitcoin is climbing above $95,000 as selling pressure eases, bringing a renewed sense of short-term stability after weeks of choppy trading. Following a volatile end to last year, buyers have gradually regained control, pushing the price back into a range that previously acted as resistance.
While skepticism remains and many analysts warn of a potential broader correction, recent data on derivatives and market positioning suggests underlying sentiment may be shifting.
According to an analysis by Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s 30-day average Positioning Index has risen to 3.5, marking its first sustained move above the 3.0 level since early October 2025. That previous breakout occurred during the rally that eventually drove Bitcoin toward its $125,000 peak, making the current move notable from a historical perspective. The index aggregates futures market data—including open interest, funding rates, and long/short activity—and is often used to spot shifts in trader sentiment.
This strengthening in positioning doesn’t guarantee an immediate rally, but it does indicate futures traders are becoming more willing to take directional bets after months of playing defense.
Futures Positioning Points to a More Bullish Stance
As noted by Axel Adler Jr., the breakout above the 3.0 level signals an important local shift in Bitcoin’s futures market structure. After fluctuating near neutral levels for nearly three months, the move suggests traders are transitioning from a defensive or neutral stance to a more directional one.
Adler emphasizes that confirmation will depend on persistence, not speed. The key signal for continuation would be the 30-day average holding above 2.0 for at least a week, which would help confirm the shift isn’t just a short-lived reaction.
This view is supported by the Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Index. While sentiment briefly spiked to 93.15% when Bitcoin neared $95,061, it has since cooled to around 70%. Importantly, this pullback has occurred without a breakdown in price. The index remains well above the neutral 50% mark and its 30-day average near 62.9%, suggesting bullish conditions still dominate the futures market.
Adler interprets the roughly 23-point drop in sentiment as a healthy cooldown from short-term overheating rather than a trend reversal. Historically, such resets can strengthen a trend’s durability. Risk would increase if sentiment falls below 50% alongside a price drop under $92,000. Conversely, holding sentiment above 60% during consolidation would support further upside.
Bitcoin Price Action Overview
On the daily chart, Bitcoin is showing clear attempts to regain control after an extended consolidation phase. Following a sharp sell-off in November that pushed prices into the low $80,000s, Bitcoin has gradually formed a pattern of higher lows, signaling stabilization rather than continued capitulation.
The recent push above $95,000 marks the highest daily close since mid-November and places Bitcoin back above its short-term moving average—a level that had capped gains throughout December.
However, the broader trend remains mixed. The 50-day moving average is still sloping downward and sits above the current price, acting as near-term dynamic resistance. Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average continues to trend higher well below the price, confirming that the longer-term market structure remains intact despite recent volatility.The market is showing signs of shifting from a corrective phase to a potential recovery, though this is not yet a clear trend reversal. The recent move toward $95,000 happened without a major surge in trading volume, indicating that selling pressure has eased rather than new aggressive buying emerging. This points to a relief rally driven by short covering and portfolio adjustments.
For the bullish case to hold, maintaining support above the $93,000–$95,000 range is essential to sustain momentum and establish a foundation for further gains. If the price fails to hold above this zone, the risk of returning to range-bound trading or a pullback toward the $90,000 support level increases.
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQs Bitcoin Bulls Regain Momentum
BeginnerLevel Questions
Q1 What does Bitcoin Bulls Regain Momentum mean
A It means that after a period of declining or stagnant prices investors who believe Bitcoins price will rise are becoming more active and confident pushing the price upward
Q2 What is the Futures Market mentioned in the headline
A The futures market is where traders agree to buy or sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price on a specific future date Its a key indicator of market sentiment and where large investors often place their bets
Q3 Why is the futures market turning optimistic a big deal
A Because for months the sentiment in this market was pessimistic or neutral A shift to optimism suggests that professional and institutional traders are expecting higher prices ahead which can influence the entire market
Q4 As a beginner should I buy Bitcoin because of this news
A News is just one factor Never invest based solely on a headline Always do your own research understand that Bitcoin is highly volatile and only invest money you can afford to lose
Q5 Whats the difference between a bull and a bear market
A A bull market is when prices are rising or expected to rise driven by optimism A bear market is when prices are falling or expected to fall driven by pessimism
Intermediate Advanced Questions
Q6 What specific metrics in the futures market show this optimism
A Key metrics include a shift in the funding rate increased open interest and a move from backwardation to contango
Q7 Could this optimism be a temporary bull trap
A Yes absolutely A rapid price surge can lure in buyers before a sharp reversal Its essential to look for sustained volume and followthrough in price action not just a shortterm futures market signal
Q8 How does futures market sentiment impact the spot price of Bitcoin
A Heavy buying in futures can lead to increased buying in the spot market as market makers hedge their