XRP is trading near the top of its month-long consolidation range, with the price stuck between roughly $1.35 and $1.45. With April almost over—just six days left until the month ends—will XRP break upward before the deadline, or will it drop lower and trigger a faster decline?
Monthly Breakout Or Breakdown?
In a recent technical update shared on social media, analyst Bull Winkle says the next major signal for XRP’s price will come from how it performs on the monthly chart. According to Winkle, bulls need a monthly close above $1.90. He sees this level as more than just a random resistance point, calling it a “hold” signal for a demand zone and a reclaim of the 2021 resistance level, which is now acting as support.
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If XRP can close above $1.90 on a monthly basis, Winkle argues it would set the stage for testing higher levels on the chart—specifically opening the door to revisiting $2.90. That bullish scenario involves a significant recovery. If XRP climbs to around $1.90 by the end of April from its current price of $1.43, that would be about a 32% gain. Additionally, a potential rally of 102% could take it to the $2.90 area.
On the other hand, Winkle outlines what would count as a clear breakdown for bears. He says the most decisive bearish signal would be a monthly close below $1.27. In his view, that would open the path for a faster move toward $1, with the possibility of an Elliott Wave C-style correction that could land XRP in the broader $0.60 to $0.75 range. That bearish estimate would be severe: it could mean a drop of around 58% from the current trading zone.
What The XRP Price Needs Next
While those price levels are the main focus, Winkle also highlighted momentum context using the relative strength index (RSI). He notes that at 47, the monthly RSI isn’t showing any clear divergence yet. For him, this means the market hasn’t reached a point where the next move is fully “high conviction” on the monthly setup. Instead, the RSI needs to do something more decisive—either bouncing strongly above 55 to confirm a bullish phase, or dropping below 40 with a path toward the 30 area, which he describes as a capitulation-type bottom.
That brings the focus to the immediate battleground. Winkle’s summary of where XRP stands is straightforward: the $1.27 to $1.43 range is likely where the outcome is being decided.
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Beyond the chart levels and RSI, Winkle pointed to a separate signal he believes is already strengthening the case for a potential upside move—something supply-side, rather than purely technical. In another post, he highlighted that “seven billion XRP just vanished from exchanges,” claiming this exchange outflow matters because when the altcoin sits on exchanges, it represents liquid, sell-side supply that can be sold at any moment. Once that supply leaves—whether to cold wallets, institutional custody, or longer-term holding structures—he argues the immediate downward pressure on XRP’s price can ease.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Frequently Asked Questions
Here is a list of FAQs generated based on the topic XRP Price What Bulls Need to Push Back to 290 and What Bears Need to Break
BeginnerLevel Questions
1 What does bulls and bears mean in this context
Answer Bulls are traders who think the price will go up Bears are traders who think the price will go down The article is about what each group needs to happen for them to win
2 Why is 290 such an important price for XRP
Answer 290 is a key resistance level In the past XRP has struggled to break above this price If bulls can push it past 290 it often signals a strong upward trend If they cant the price might stay lower
3 What do you mean by break from the bears perspective
Answer For bears breaking means pushing the price down through a key support level If that happens it often triggers panic selling and sends the price even lower
4 Is this prediction guaranteed to happen
Answer No Price predictions are never guaranteed Markets are influenced by news regulations and overall crypto sentiment This is just an analysis of what could happen based on current data
IntermediateLevel Questions
5 What specific technical levels do bulls need to hold to reach 290
Answer Bulls first need to hold support around 260 Then they need to break through 275 The final hurdle is the major resistance at 290 A daily close above 290 with high volume is the strongest signal
6 What technical levels do bears need to break to push the price down
Answer Bears need to break the 240 support level first If that falls the next major target is 220 Breaking 220 could lead to a drop toward 190 or lower
7 Does trading volume matter more for bulls or bears right now