Over the years, Bitcoin has followed a fairly consistent bull cycle pattern, with each cycle starting and ending after a similar number of days. Because of this, many people look at past cycles to try and predict when the next bull market or bear market might begin. One common method is tracking the number of days between cycles, and one analyst is using this approach to forecast what comes next.
The 1,065-Day Rule That Predicts The Next Bitcoin Bull Run
Crypto analyst @0xbeehive shared a post on X (formerly Twitter) explaining a pattern that has repeated over the last two cycles and could happen again. This pattern focuses on the number of days between the start of a bull market and the beginning of the next bear market.
The analyst looks back at the 2018–2021 market cycle, one of the most important bull runs in Bitcoin’s history. In that cycle, the bear market lasted 365 days (one year) before hitting a bottom and starting the next upward move. That bull run then lasted 1,066 days before reaching its peak. The result was a massive rally that took Bitcoin from under $5,000 in 2020 to $69,000 in 2021. This shows how powerful the pattern can be, and if Bitcoin follows it again, the next run could be just as big.
Next is the 2022–2025 bull run, which saw another major price rally. The same pattern repeated: Bitcoin spent 365 days in a bear market before bottoming out. Then, the bull market resumed and lasted another 1,065 days, delivering a return of over 10x as the price went from $16,000 in 2022 to a peak of $126,000 in 2025.
Now, the analyst suggests the same trend might be playing out again. The current bear cycle is still ongoing, but it has some time left before it ends. According to the analyst’s chart, the bear market will bottom in the last quarter of 2026, with Bitcoin reaching around $47,000. As before, the analyst expects a bull run lasting another 1,065 days, though with smaller returns compared to previous cycles. In this case, Bitcoin could cross $200,000, giving a return of over 5x.
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Frequently Asked Questions
Here is a list of FAQs based on the analysts claim that the Bitcoin bull cycle is right on schedule including when the next run might start
BeginnerLevel FAQs
1 What does Bitcoin bull cycle mean
Its a period when Bitcoins price rises significantly over months or years Think of it as a long upward wave in the market usually followed by a bear phase
2 Is this analyst saying Bitcoin will go up right now
Not exactly The analyst says the current price action is happening exactly as past cycles did They are predicting when the next big price surge will startnot that its already here
3 When does the analyst say the next bull run will start
According to the analyst the next major bull run is expected to start around midtolate 2025 This is based on historical patterns after Bitcoins halving event
4 What is a halving and why does it matter
A halving is when the reward for mining new Bitcoin is cut in half It makes new Bitcoin harder to get which historically leads to a supply shortage and a price increase about 1218 months later
5 If the cycle is on schedule does that mean I should buy Bitcoin now
Thats a personal decision not financial advice The analysts schedule suggests the best buying opportunity may have already passed but the biggest price gains are expected in 2025 Many investors buy during the boring phase before the run
Intermediate Advanced FAQs
6 How does the analyst determine the exact schedule of the cycle
They likely use a combination of
Halving dates
Onchain metrics that show when Bitcoin is undervalued or overvalued
Market psychology and historical timeframes between alltime highs
7 What specific date or price target did the analyst give for the start of the next run
Most cycle analysts dont give an exact date Instead they point to