A tsawon shekaru, Bitcoin ya bi tsarin zagayowar bull mai daidaito, inda kowane zagayo yake farawa da ƙarewa bayan adadin kwanaki iri ɗaya. Saboda haka, mutane da yawa suna kallon zagayowar da suka gabata don ƙoƙarin hasashen lokacin da kasuwar bull ko bear za ta fara. Hanya ɗaya da aka saba amfani da ita ita ce bin diddigin adadin kwanaki tsakanin zagayowar, kuma wani manazarci yana amfani da wannan hanyar don hasashen abin da zai biyo baya.
Dokar Kwanaki 1,065 Da Ke Hasashen Tashin Bitcoin na Gaba
Manazarci Crypto @0xbeehive ya raba wani rubutu a kan X (da ake kira Twitter) yana bayyana wani tsari da ya maimaita a cikin zagayowar biyu da suka gabata kuma zai iya sake faruwa. Wannan tsari yana mai da hankali kan adadin kwanaki tsakanin farkon kasuwar bull da farkon kasuwar bear ta gaba.
Manazarcin ya waiwaya baya kan zagayowar kasuwa ta 2018–2021, ɗaya daga cikin mahimman tashoshin bull a tarihin Bitcoin. A wannan zagayowar, kasuwar bear ta dauki kwanaki 365 (shekara ɗaya) kafin ta kai ga ƙasa kuma ta fara motsi na gaba zuwa sama. Wannan tashin bull ya dauki kwanaki 1,066 kafin ya kai kololuwa. Sakamakon shi ne tashin girma mai ƙarfi wanda ya kai Bitcoin daga ƙasa da $5,000 a 2020 zuwa $69,000 a 2021. Wannan ya nuna yadda tsarin zai iya zama mai ƙarfi, kuma idan Bitcoin ya sake bin shi, tashin na gaba zai iya zama babba kamar haka.
Na gaba shi ne tashin bull na 2022–2025, wanda ya ga wani tashin farashi mai girma. Tsarin guda ɗaya ya maimaita: Bitcoin ya shafe kwanaki 365 a kasuwar bear kafin ya kai ƙasa. Sa'an nan, kasuwar bull ta sake farawa kuma ta dauki kwanaki 1,065, tana ba da dawowar fiye da sau 10 yayin da farashin ya tashi daga $16,000 a 2022 zuwa kololuwa $126,000 a 2025.
Yanzu, manazarcin yana nuna cewa wannan yanayin na iya sake faruwa. Zagayowar bear na yanzu yana ci gaba, amma yana da ɗan lokaci kafin ya ƙare. Bisa ga ginshiƙi na manazarcin, kasuwar bear za ta kai ƙasa a cikin kwata na ƙarshe na 2026, tare da Bitcoin ya kai kusan $47,000. Kamar da, manazarcin yana tsammanin tashin bull zai dauki kwanaki 1,065, kodayake yana da ƙarancin dawowa idan aka kwatanta da zagayowar da suka gabata. A wannan yanayin, Bitcoin zai iya wuce $200,000, yana ba da dawowar fiye da sau 5.
Hoton da aka nuna daga Dall.E, ginshiƙi daga TradingView.com
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa bisa ga da'awar manazarcin cewa zagayowar bull na Bitcoin yana kan lokaci daidai, gami da lokacin da tashin na gaba zai iya farawa
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
1 Menene ma'anar zagayowar bull na Bitcoin
Lokaci ne da farashin Bitcoin ke tashi sosai a cikin watanni ko shekaru Ka yi la'akari da shi a matsayin igiyar ruwa mai tashi a kasuwa, yawanci ana biye da lokacin bear
2 Shin wannan manazarcin yana cewa Bitcoin zai tashi yanzu
Ba daidai ba Manazarcin yana cewa yanayin farashin na yanzu yana faruwa daidai kamar yadda zagayowar da suka gabata suka yi Suna hasashen lokacin da babban tashin farashi na gaba zai fara, ba cewa ya riga ya zo ba
3 Yaushe manazarcin ya ce tashin bull na gaba zai fara
Bisa ga manazarcin, ana sa ran babban tashin bull na gaba zai fara daga tsakiyar zuwa ƙarshen 2025 Wannan ya dogara ne akan tsarin tarihi bayan taron raba rabin Bitcoin
4 Menene raba rabin kuma me yasa yake da mahimmanci
Raba rabin shine lokacin da ladan haƙo sabon Bitcoin ke raguwa da rabi Yana sa sabon Bitcoin ya zama da wuya a samu, wanda a tarihi yana haifar da ƙarancin wadata da hauhawar farashi bayan watanni 12-18
5 Idan zagayowar tana kan lokaci, shin hakan yana nufin ya kamata in sayi Bitcoin yanzu
Wannan shawara ce ta sirri, ba shawarar kuɗi ba Jadawalin manazarcin yana nuna cewa mafi kyawun damar siya ta wuce, amma ana sa ran mafi girman ribar farashi a 2025 Masu zuba jari da yawa suna siya a lokacin da ba a sha'awar kafin tashin
Tambayoyi na Matsakaici da Ci gaba
6 Ta yaya manazarcin ke tantance ainihin jadawalin zagayowar
Wataƙila suna amfani da haɗin
Kwanakin raba rabin
Ma'auni na kan sarkar da ke nuna lokacin da Bitcoin ke da ƙarancin daraja ko yawan daraja
Ilimin halin kasuwa da lokutan tarihi tsakanin kololuwar farashi
7 Wane takamaiman kwanan wata ko makasudin farashi manazarcin ya bayar don farkon tashin na gaba
Yawancin manazartan zagayowar ba sa bayar da takamaiman kwanan wata A maimakon haka, suna nuna