Crypto analyst Blade has pointed to a Bitcoin trend that could signal when the leading cryptocurrency might hit a bottom in this bear market cycle. He also suggested that BTC could rally as high as $400,000 in the next bull market.
Bitcoin Trend That Points to When BTC Could Bottom
In an X post, Blade noted that every BTC cycle has ended the same way: the trendline on the monthly chart breaks and support is lost. He said that when this happens, market participants expect a deeper crash, but that’s actually when Bitcoin finds a bottom—just as it has for the past 15 years.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Buy Zone That Previously Led To A 660% And 1,700% Rally
The analyst also mentioned that once Bitcoin finds a bottom, it builds a base and then starts the next leg up. He remarked that 2026 is starting to look familiar, signaling that a bullish reversal is on the horizon. His chart showed that BTC could rally to a new high of around $400,000 in this next bull run. The chart also indicated that this target could be reached by 2030.
In another X post, Blade said that Bitcoin is getting ready for the final leg. He noted that BTC has been making lower highs for almost a year, and as a result, most people think the bull run is over. However, he pointed out that the leading crypto is still within the same structure, citing a Megaphone Bottom pattern. The analyst added that point 4 may already be in, and point 5 is now the only target.
His chart showed that point 4 is the bottom, with the possibility that Bitcoin may have bottomed at the February low of $60,000. If so, the leading crypto could now be targeting a rally to point 5 at around $160,000, which would mark a new all-time high for BTC.
A Drop to the Mid $60,000 Range Could Still Be Possible
In an X post, crypto analyst Colin signaled that Bitcoin could drop to the mid $60,000 range. He pointed to a Head-and-Shoulders (H&S) top pattern, which he noted is currently retesting the neckline where it broke down. The analyst added that a rejection from that level would be a strong confirmation of the top pattern.
Related Reading: Analyst Compares This Bitcoin Bear Market To Previous Cycles To Show What’s Coming Next
Colin stated that Bitcoin is being forced to make a decision, and that should happen within a day or two. He noted that the target is the mid-$60,000 range because a breakdown would simultaneously break the H&S pattern and the channel. Meanwhile, the analyst also pointed to a bear flag that had formed for BTC.
At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $73,400, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Frequently Asked Questions
Here is a list of FAQs about the 15year Bitcoin trend that predicts market bottoms and a potential 400000 price target
BeginnerLevel Questions
1 What is this 15year trend everyone is talking about
Its a recurring pattern in Bitcoins price cycles since 2009 Roughly every four years Bitcoin goes through a boom a crash and then a long recovery The trend suggests that the absolute bottom of each crash happens about 1218 months after the previous alltime high
2 How does this trend predict when the bottom is in
It looks at the time and percentage drop from the peak Historically Bitcoin bottoms when it has fallen roughly 7585 from its high and about 350400 days have passed since that high If you see those two conditions met the trend says the worst is likely over
3 So when does this trend say the next bottom will be
Based on the 2021 peak the trend pointed to a bottom window in late 2022 or early 2023 That actually matched the real bottom around November 2022
4 How can a trend thats 15 years old predict a price of 400000
The trend is based on the idea that each market cycles peak is roughly 10x to 20x higher than the previous cycles peak If the next peak follows that pattern and the trend holds a price target of 400000 is within that historical range for the next bull run
5 Is this a guarantee that Bitcoin will hit 400000
No Its a historical pattern not a law Its like a weather forecastit shows the most likely path based on past data Unexpected events can break the trend
Advanced Practical Questions
6 What specific metric is used to track this 15year trend
Analysts often use the