XRP could be heading for a major price recovery if a rare technical pattern that has repeated across several market cycles plays out once again.
According to analysis, XRP is currently sitting just above the lower support line of a long-term ascending channel that has guided its price since 2017. This position, combined with a very low momentum reading, has caught the attention of analysts.
A Pattern Decades in the Making
Market commentator Celal Kucuker reports that XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 42.7. That’s near the lowest levels ever recorded for the token, a zone that has only appeared three times before: in November 2015, March 2020, and August 2022. Each time, it was followed by a strong price rally.
In 2015, XRP was trading inside a symmetrical triangle pattern, with the price falling sharply to around $0.0040 and the monthly RSI at 46.7. That setup led into the big 2017 rally. In March 2020, during a broad market sell-off, the monthly RSI hit 43.7 and the token bottomed near $0.104 before climbing to $1.97 by April 2021. The third time was in August 2022, when prices fell to $0.31 and the RSI reached 43.9. XRP later rose to $3.40 by January 2025.
What the Chart Shows Now
XRP has dropped more than 10% in June alone, with the first four days of the month pushing it to multi-month lows around $1.18. It fell 9% in the last week. Despite the selling pressure, reports say the token has held above the lower boundary of the ascending channel that has contained its price for nearly a decade.
Kucuker’s analysis points out that what makes the current situation different is the combination of two conditions happening at once: the price is holding at long-term structural support, while the monthly momentum indicator has already fallen to historically low levels.
In previous cycles, momentum reached these depths either at the same time as the price bottom or just before a sustained recovery began.
The Channel’s Upper End in Sight
If the same pattern repeats, the first price target would be the upper resistance line of the ascending channel. Reports note that every time XRP has tested the channel’s lower support, it has eventually moved toward the upper boundary.
Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView.
Frequently Asked Questions
Here is a list of FAQs based on the topic An analyst has spotted an XRP signal that has appeared before every major rally since 2017
BeginnerLevel Questions
Q What is the XRP signal everyone is talking about
A Its a specific pattern or indicator on XRPs price chart that an analyst noticed This pattern has shown up right before every big price jump since 2017
Q Does this mean XRP will definitely go up now
A No Past patterns dont guarantee future results Its a strong historical clue but the market can always change
Q Is this signal something I can see on any crypto chart
A Possibly but its specifically tied to XRPs price history It might be a unique combination of moving averages volume or a technical indicator
Q Should I buy XRP because of this signal
A Dont base a buy decision on one signal alone Do your own research consider your risk tolerance and never invest money you cant afford to lose
Q How long has this signal been around
A The analyst says it has appeared before every major XRP rally since 2017 so roughly 7 years
IntermediateLevel Questions
Q What kind of technical indicator is this signal
A The analyst hasnt publicly named the exact indicator but its likely a combination of price action and a volume spike or a moving average crossover
Q How often has this signal given a false alarm
A The analyst claims it has appeared before every major rally which implies it has a very high success rate However it may have also appeared during smaller moves or sideways markets that werent considered major rallies
Q Does this signal work on other cryptocurrencies or just XRP
A The specific pattern was identified for XRP It may or may not work on Bitcoin or Ethereum Its likely tailored to XRPs unique market behavior
Q Whats the difference between this signal and a buy the dip strategy