Crypto analyst Cryptollica (@Cryptollica on X) suggests Dogecoin’s weekly chart is repeating a familiar pattern: forming a rounded base, reducing volatility, resetting momentum, and quietly setting up what he calls the “calm before the storm.” At least, that’s the idea.
In a December 23 TradingView analysis titled “DOGE: The Cycle Repeats (1W Timeframe),” Cryptollica describes the current structure as a “textbook fractal setup.” He points to four previous “structural points” in Dogecoin’s history and claims the market is now at “Point 4.” The main idea isn’t about a single indicator but pattern recognition: “the structure is rhyming perfectly with the pre-bull run accumulation phases of the past.”
Will Dogecoin Repeat History?
Cryptollica labels Zones 1 and 2 as past “boredom phases”—long, quiet periods that, looking back, appear to be times of accumulation. “Zones 1 & 2: These were the ‘boredom phases’ where volatility died, and smart money accumulated,” he writes. Zone 2, in particular, is called “the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run.”
The current period, labeled Zone 4, is presented as almost a mirror image: “We are seeing the exact same rounding bottom formation. The price is stabilizing, forming a heavy base just like it did before the previous explosions.”
That’s the structural argument. For momentum, he points to the RSI indicator, stating clearly: “Look at the RSI indicator at the bottom. The red line (~32 level) acts as a historical floor.” He adds that “every single time the weekly RSI touched or hovered near this baseline (Points 1, 2, and 3), it marked a macro bottom.” Currently, he reads the RSI as having “reset back to this critical support level,” which he interprets as a sign that sellers are exhausted and momentum is ready to turn upward.
This kind of analysis—using the past as a template and the present as a rhyme—is common in crypto markets. Cryptollica tries to counter skepticism by insisting the pattern isn’t random: “This isn’t just random noise; it’s a cyclical reset.” He argues DOGE is in what he calls the “‘Golden Pocket’ for accumulation,” suggesting that if it follows the 2020 pattern from Zone 2, then current price action is simply a quiet period of accumulation.
TradingView’s editorial team featured the analysis as an “Editor’s Pick” on December 23, adding a note of encouragement: “Good trading plans are valuable, regardless of their outcomes, and particularly rewarding when they succeed.” Cryptollica replied, “TradingView, thank you.”
However, a cautionary comment from another user, ZarinSyed, offers a useful perspective: “The fractal analysis is compelling, however, while the setup does resemble prior accumulation phases, it’s worth noting that fractals are not deterministic — macro conditions and liquidity flows can alter outcomes.” They suggest a practical benchmark for confirmation: “Watching DOGE’s weekly close above the $0.15–$0.17 range could validate the bullish thesis.” They also note that while the RSI near 32 may indicate exhaustion, “momentum confirmation often requires a sustained move above the midline (50). Until then, the risk of prolonged sideways action remains.”The analysts introduce a key market-structure factor for narratives like those seen in 2026: “Unlike 2020, DOGE now operates in a more mature market influenced by institutional flows from ETFs. Retail-driven patterns may unfold differently.” So, what does this mean in simple trading terms, without treating the chart as a crystal ball?
Cryptollica is making a high-conviction, weekly-chart argument that DOGE has re-entered an accumulation “buy zone,” with its RSI near a historical low and a rounded base pattern similar to previous cycle setups. ZarinSyed’s response is essentially: that’s fine, but now show me the evidence—preferably in the form of a clear breakout and sustained momentum. He also suggests monitoring relative metrics like DOGE’s dominance versus Bitcoin to determine whether this is a genuine DOGE-driven move or just general altcoin volatility.
At the time of writing, DOGE was trading at $ [price]. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com.
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQs Dogecoins 2020 Accumulation Pattern Comparison
Beginner General Questions
1 What does it mean that Dogecoin is mirroring its 2020 accumulation pattern
It means that some analysts see similarities in Dogecoins current price behaviorlike trading in a tight range with lower volatilityto the period in 2020 before its massive price surge in early 2021 They suggest this could be a phase where investors are steadily buying and holding before a potential big move
2 What exactly is an accumulation pattern in crypto
An accumulation pattern is a phase where an assets price moves sideways or dips slightly in a predictable range for an extended period During this time informed or largescale investors are believed to be buying shares or coins quietly building up their positions before a potential upward price breakout
3 Is this a guarantee that Dogecoin will skyrocket like it did in 2021
No it is not a guarantee Past performance never guarantees future results While patterns can look similar the market conditions news and overall investor sentiment are different now This analysis is an observation not a prediction with certainty
4 Why is the 2020 period so important for Dogecoin
In 2020 Dogecoin traded between roughly 0002 and 0005 for many months This quiet period was followed by an unprecedented bull run in 2021 fueled by social media hype and celebrity endorsements pushing its price to an alltime high near 074 Analysts use it as a key reference point
Advanced Practical Questions
5 What specific chart indicators are analysts looking at to draw this comparison
Analysts often look at tools like
Volume Analysis Comparing current trading volume to 2020 levels to see if accumulation is happening
SupportResistance Levels Identifying if the price is consolidating between similar price floors and ceilings
Moving Averages Watching if the price is interacting with key longterm averages in a similar way
Timeframe Correlation Assessing if the duration of the current consolidation phase matches the length of the 2020 pattern