XRP is consolidating within a clear range on the weekly chart following its recent breakout. Analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) suggests the next major price direction will be signaled by the RSI, anticipating a breakout “sometime in Q1” that should drive prices higher toward $10.
His weekly XRP/USD chart (Bitstamp) includes a 50-week EMA. It shows a sharp rally that lifted XRP from a long-term base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation within a defined range. This range is marked by an upper boundary near the 2018 peak of $3.33 and a lower boundary just above $1.60. At the time of the chart, XRP was around $2.124 on the weekly close, sitting just below the 50-week EMA—a key level in Maelius’s analysis.
The chart uses Elliott Wave theory to label the current consolidation as a corrective wave 4 after a strong upward move, indicating a pause rather than a broken trend. Maelius notes his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” suggesting a narrow window for the consolidation to resolve and transition into a wave 5 advance if momentum returns.
The analysis also draws a comparison to 2017, when XRP saw a massive rally, a prolonged consolidation, and then a second sharp surge. While the magnitude may differ, the current pattern is viewed as similar: a strong initial rally from late 2024 into early 2025, followed by a year-long consolidation into early 2026. This implies the next major upward leg could be approaching.
The weekly RSI shows a descending trendline capping recent peaks. Maelius identifies a breakout above this line as his timing trigger, expecting it to coincide with higher prices. In his view, momentum needs to break out of its own compression before price can enter a sustained expansion phase.
Notably, the chart labels the current wave 4 as part of a larger wave III, meaning the anticipated wave 5 is not necessarily a cycle-ending move. When asked if $10 represents a quarterly maximum, Maelius responded, “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards $10.”
If this thesis holds, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and move back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break serving as confirmation. A failure to do so, with continued rejection at the EMA and a break below $1.60, would extend the corrective phase and delay the projected wave 5 advance.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.37.
Frequently Asked Questions
Of course Here is a list of FAQs about the news that an analyst predicts an RSI breakout for XRP could lead to a price of 10
Beginner General Questions
1 What does this headline even mean
It means a financial analyst who studies XRPs price charts believes a specific technical indicator is showing a signal that often precedes a big price move They are speculating that this could potentially drive XRPs price much higher even to 10
2 What is RSI
RSI stands for Relative Strength Index Its a common tool used in technical analysis that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale of 0 to 100 It helps identify if an asset is potentially overbought or oversold
3 What is an RSI breakout
An RSI breakout happens when the RSI value moves decisively above a key level Analysts see this as a shift from bearish momentum to bullish momentum suggesting stronger buying pressure may be starting
4 Is XRP really going to hit 10
This is a prediction not a guarantee The analyst is presenting a bullish scenario based on their chart reading Reaching 10 would require a massive increase in market cap and buying pressure Always treat price predictions with caution
5 Should I buy XRP right now based on this news
You should never make an investment decision based solely on one analysts prediction or a single news headline Always do your own research understand the risks of cryptocurrency investing and consider your own financial situation
Advanced Practical Questions
6 What time frame is this one week referring to
The one week likely refers to the analyst observing the RSI on a weekly chart A breakout on a higher time frame is generally considered a stronger more significant signal than one on a shorter time frame
7 What are the specific RSI levels or patterns the analyst is watching
While the article may not specify common levels for a significant breakout on a weekly chart would be a sustained move above the midline or breaking above a descending trendline that has contained the R