As XRP works to hold a key support level, one analyst predicts a 30% to 40% rally in the coming weeks. This suggests the altcoin could experience short-term relief before hitting what he calls a “critical inflection point.”
XRP Holds Its ‘Lifeline’
On Friday, XRP dipped 2.5% intraday to retest the $1.43 area before bouncing back above the crucial $1.40 level. The cryptocurrency has been trading between $1.34 and $1.50 over the past month, recently attempting to break above that range.
During this week’s market rally, XRP surged 15% from weekend lows, hitting a one-month high of $1.60 on Tuesday. However, broader market volatility has pulled it back into its recent range, forcing a retest of a key area.
Analyst ChardNerd stated that XRP is “currently defending a lifeline as it clings to support” and expects a move toward what he believes will be its “critical inflection point” in the coming weeks.
XRP has been trading around its 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $1.41. It has seen multiple closes below this level, followed by a bullish reclaim in the latest weekly candle. The analyst explained that defending this key level as the week ends is crucial. Doing so would set the stage for a new retest and potential reclaim of the $1.50 resistance, leading to a relief rally toward two higher levels: the 20 EMA and 50 EMA.
“So, what I’m trying to say is XRP could potentially have some sort of relief in the coming months, up towards these EMAs, which sit between $1.80 and $2.00. And if it gets this relief, that will mark a very critical inflection point.”
He emphasized that XRP must defend and hold the 200 EMA, as reclaiming this critical support on the weekly chart previously pushed the price toward recent local highs.
Why an April Rally Is Likely
Looking deeper at the potential for a relief rally, the analyst noted that XRP displayed “very interestingly unfolding price action” in previous cycles. After peaking in 2021, the altcoin fell to the 200 EMA, saw a relief rally toward the 20 and 50 EMAs, was rejected, and ultimately dropped to its bear market lows.
Now, the cryptocurrency has done “exactly what we did in the prior cycle peak in 2021,” significantly retracing from its July 2025 peak and falling back to the 200 EMA. Notably, after a successful back test in the prior cycle, the altcoin saw about three months of relief. This pattern suggests “this is where we could see the next sort of few months, if Bitcoin behaves.”
Furthermore, the previous relief rally occurred around March 2022, though ChardNerd noted, “It doesn’t have to repeat the exact same way.” If the rally doesn’t retest the $1.80-$2.00 range in the next week, he suggested “there is a possibility that it lasts a bit longer than it did the prior cycle,” potentially continuing into April or May.
“So, this is why there’s still the potential, I think, to get the push to $2 and then XRP comes back to $0.80 to $0.70,” he concluded.
Frequently Asked Questions
Of course Here is a list of FAQs about the topic XRP Nears a Critical Turning Point Analyst Predicts a Potential 2 Rally in April designed to be clear concise and helpful for a range of readers
General Beginner Questions
Q1 What does critical turning point mean for XRP
A It typically means that analysts are watching key price levels on the chart If XRPs price breaks above a specific resistance point it could signal the start of a major upward trend If it fails it might fall back into a lower trading range
Q2 Who is predicting a 2 price for XRP and why
A Various cryptocurrency analysts and traders make these predictions often based on technical chart patterns and historical price movements Its an educated forecast not a guarantee
Q3 Is it guaranteed that XRP will hit 2 in April
A No Price predictions are never guaranteed They are based on analysis of current market conditions and patterns which can change rapidly due to news regulations or broader market sentiment
Q4 Im new to crypto What is XRP
A XRP is the digital asset used on the RippleNet network which is designed for fast lowcost international money transfers between financial institutions Its different from Bitcoin which is more like digital gold
Q5 Where can I buy XRP if I want to invest
A You can buy XRP on major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance Coinbase Kraken and Bitstamp Youll need to create an account verify your identity and deposit funds
Analysis Market Context Questions
Q6 What specific chart pattern or indicator suggests this rally
A Analysts often point to a longterm symmetrical triangle or consolidation pattern on the XRP price chart A decisive breakout above the upper trendline of this pattern is what many are calling the critical turning point
Q7 Besides technical analysis what fundamental factors could help XRP rally
A Positive developments in Ripples ongoing lawsuit with the SEC increased adoption of RippleNet by banks or favorable cryptocurrency regulations could act as catalysts for a price increase