A price level that served as a floor throughout 2025 is now preventing XRP from recovering. The $1.80 mark—once a reliable support—turned into resistance in January 2026, and the token has not come close to reclaiming it since. Until it does, one analyst states that XRP remains “in deep trouble.”
For most of last year, XRP traded inside a large parallel channel, with a ceiling near $3.45 and a floor around $1.80. The token stayed within those boundaries even after its price began to decline from an all-time high of $3.60 in July 2025. Lower highs and lower lows accumulated through the fourth quarter, but $1.80 held firm.
Then January arrived. XRP closed the month below that level for the first time and has not recovered since. The $1.80 floor became a ceiling, and every attempt to push higher has been blocked.
Analyst Sjuul from the AltCryptoGems channel explained the situation in a recent market analysis. Looking at the daily chart, he highlighted the pattern of lower lows and lower highs that has defined XRP’s price action since the July peak—a structure that keeps the broader downtrend fully intact, regardless of short-term rallies.
XRP did manage a stretch of gains between March 9 and 16—rising for seven out of eight days, its best run since September 2025. The token climbed 15% during that period, reclaiming $1.50 and closing at $1.54 on March 16. However, the rally stalled almost immediately. A push toward $1.60 met resistance at $1.6074 earlier this week, and XRP has since declined for three consecutive days, now trading around $1.46. Despite its brief strength, the recovery never came close to $1.80.
For context, XRP had fallen to $1.27 on February 28 during the initial market reaction to the Israel-Iran conflict before recovering above $1.50. The March rally was largely a rebound from that low—not a trend reversal.
Sjuul sees two clear paths forward. Either XRP reclaims $1.80 and pushes back inside the parallel channel—invalidating the bearish setup—or it fails to do so, and downside risk increases significantly. The level he identifies on the downside is the $1.20 to $1.30 zone. This area offered no resistance during XRP’s rapid rally in November 2024, creating what analysts call a “no support zone”—a price range the market moved through so quickly that few buyers established positions there. Since that rally, the zone has acted as a cushion during dips. If $1.80 continues to hold as resistance, Sjuul suggests XRP could fall back toward that range.
Frequently Asked Questions
Of course Here is a list of FAQs about the topic XRP Remains at Risk Until This Crucial Breakout Occurs Analyst designed to be helpful for both beginners and more experienced followers
Beginner General Questions
1 What does the headline XRP Remains at Risk actually mean
It means that according to a technical analyst the price of XRP is currently in a position where it could potentially fall further in value The risk refers to the possibility of a downward price move
2 What is a crucial breakout in crypto trading
A breakout is when the price of an asset moves outside a defined support or resistance level with increased volume A crucial one is a key level that if broken is expected to lead to a significant and sustained price move in that direction
3 What specific price level is the analyst talking about
While the exact level can change analysts often refer to key resistance levels The article likely specifies a particular price that XRP needs to close above consistently for the analyst to consider the breakout successful
4 Why is XRP at risk right now
The analyst likely points to it trading below a major resistance level stuck in a consolidation pattern or showing weak buying volume As long as it stays below that key level sellers could regain control and push the price down
5 Is this financial advice
No This is an analysts interpretation of market charts and trends It is an opinion not a guarantee You should always do your own research and consider your personal financial situation before making any investment
Intermediate Technical Questions
6 What happens if XRP doesnt achieve this breakout
If it fails to break out and instead falls back it could confirm the current resistance level as strong This might lead to a retest of lower support levels increasing the chance of a deeper price declinethis is the risk mentioned
7 What would a successful breakout look like
A successful breakout typically needs two things 1 A clear and sustained price close