Crypto analyst Crypto Whale has outlined a scenario where Bitcoin’s price could potentially fall to $25,000, which he believes would establish a long-term bottom as the market recovers from its bear phase.
In a post on X, Crypto Whale pointed to the monthly chart, suggesting Bitcoin could find a macro bottom near $25,000 around 2026. He noted that such deep pullbacks have historically created zones for long-term accumulation, representing a reset before the next growth phase rather than the end of the cycle.
However, in a separate post, the analyst indicated that Bitcoin is not yet in a confirmed bear market and shared his view on how the 2026 bull run might develop. He predicts a Bitcoin-led rally this month, followed by a broader altcoin expansion in February. By March, he expects a bull trap that could trigger volatility and panic selling.
Crypto Whale anticipates a capitulation phase in May, with full bear market confirmation likely in June. This perspective aligns with analysis from research firm XWIN Research, which observed that Bitcoin has not clearly entered a new bullish trend and remains in a high-volatility range, lacking decisive direction.
XWIN Research also raised the possibility of Bitcoin falling to $50,000 if recession risks worsen, with deleveraging and ETF outflows potentially pushing the price below $80,000.
Elsewhere, analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a recurring “death cross” on Bitcoin’s weekly chart—a pattern where the 10-week moving average crosses below the 50-week average. Noting similar occurrences in 2014, 2018, 2020, and 2022—each followed by corrections of 50% to 67%—Martinez suggested Bitcoin could drop to around $38,000 if history repeats.
He added that the price range between $50,000 and $38,000 could become attractive for long-term accumulation, though the market will ultimately determine Bitcoin’s next move.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $88,700, showing a slight increase over the past 24 hours.
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQs Bitcoins Potential Price Drop to 25000
Beginner Questions
Q Why is Bitcoins price dropping
A Bitcoins price can drop for many reasons like negative news large investors selling general market uncertainty or changes in economic policy that make risky assets less attractive
Q What does falling to 25000 mean
A Its a prediction that the value of one Bitcoin could decline from its current price to around 25000 This is a significant level that analysts watch as a potential support point
Q Is Bitcoin crashing
A A sharp drop isnt necessarily a crash which is a very rapid and severe decline This is often described as a correction or a bearish trend within its normal volatile cycle
Q Should I sell my Bitcoin if the price is falling
A Thats a personal financial decision Some investors hold through downturns believing in longterm growth Others may sell to avoid further losses Never invest more than you can afford to lose
Q How low could Bitcoin realistically go
A Predictions vary widely While 25000 is a discussed level in extreme scenarios it could test lower supports Its price history shows it can be very volatile in both directions
Intermediate MarketRelated Questions
Q What specific factors could push Bitcoin to 25000
A Key factors include sustained high interest rates regulatory crackdowns miner selling pressure a slowdown in ETF inflows or a broader stock market downturn
Q What is a support level and why is 25000 important
A A support level is a price point where an asset tends to stop falling because buying interest increases 25000 is viewed by many analysts as a major historical and psychological support zone for Bitcoin
Q How do Bitcoin ETFs affect the price now
A Large inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs created major buying pressure earlier in 2024 If those inflows slow or reverse into outflows it could significantly reduce buying support
Q What role do Bitcoin miners play in a price drop
A Miners have high operational costs If the price falls near or below their cost