As the year ends, XRP investors are growing more pessimistic, expecting the cryptocurrency to stay below the key $2 mark.
Forecasts Lowered
A recent Gemini poll, conducted from December 12 to 23, shows that 73% of investors now predict XRP will finish the year between $1.50 and $2.00, pointing to a subdued close for 2025. Just weeks ago, sentiment was more hopeful, with about 38% of traders expecting a rally to between $2.00 and $2.50 by December 31. That figure has since fallen to 28%, indicating a notable drop in confidence.
The chance of XRP exceeding $2.50 now seems remote, with only about 4% of respondents forecasting a range of $2.50 to $3.00, and another 4% predicting a move above $3.00.
The 73% consensus for a finish between $1.50 and $2.00 is up from 63% earlier in the poll, showing participants are increasingly converging on this as the most likely outcome. Optimism for higher prices has faded significantly, with just 4% anticipating a move into the mid-$2 range after repeated failures to break through resistance.
Meanwhile, the outlook for a drop below $1.50 has edged up slightly to 7% from 6%, though most still consider a sharp sell-off unlikely.
Increased Supply from Early Investors
This bearish mood matches futures data showing a dominance of aggressive sell orders. Additionally, the slow accumulation of XRP in ETFs—about $30 to $50 million daily—is not enough to offset the profit-taking and risk reduction happening in the market.
On-chain data indicates that substantial profits were locked in as XRP neared its recent highs. For example, one long-term holder, who originally bought around $0.40, sold over 350 million tokens at roughly $2.00, securing an estimated profit of $721 million.
With many early investors reportedly cashing out around the $2 level, there has been little dip-buying support to lift the price, keeping it in the current range of $1.7 to $1.8 seen this past week.
Analysts note that when supply increases from long-term holders who bought in at $0.40 to $0.60, it creates a tough resistance ceiling. Breaking through would require significant new demand.
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.830. The altcoin has posted notable losses across all time frames, with a 15% decline year-to-date, in line with the broader market’s performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
Of course Here is a list of FAQs about the Gemini poll regarding XRPs price expectations designed to be clear and helpful for investors at all levels
About the Poll Its Meaning
1 What is this Gemini poll everyone is talking about
Gemini a major cryptocurrency exchange conducted a survey of over 2000 investors It found that more than 70 of those surveyed believe the price of XRP will remain below 2 for the rest of this year
2 Does this poll predict the future price of XRP
No It does not predict the price it measures investor sentiment It tells us what a majority of investors currently expect to happen which can influence trading behavior but it is not a guarantee
3 Why is investor sentiment like this important
Market sentiment can be a selffulfilling prophecy If most people believe the price wont rise significantly they may be less likely to buy or hold large amounts which can limit upward price movement Conversely it can set a psychological ceiling that the price struggles to break
4 Who was polled Does this represent all XRP investors
The poll surveyed over 2000 users of the Gemini exchange While this is a sizable sample it does not represent every XRP holder or investor globally Sentiment can vary across different communities and regions
Understanding XRP Price Context
5 What is XRP and how is it different from Bitcoin
XRP is a digital asset built for fast lowcost international payments primarily used by banks and financial institutions through Ripples technology Bitcoin is primarily a decentralized digital gold or store of value They have different purposes supplies and governing structures
6 Has XRP ever been above 2 before
Yes XRPs alltime high was just over 380 in January 2018 It has not traded above 2 since the major crypto market downturn later that year
7 What are the main things that could make XRP break above 2
Major catalysts could include a clear positive final resolution to Ripples ongoing lawsuit with the SEC significant adoption of Ripples technology by a major bank or country or a massive overall bull run in the entire cryptocurrency market