XRP has entered a new growth phase with the launch of Spot XRP ETFs across the United States. Interest in institutional access to XRP has surged in recent weeks, fueled by filings and inflow reports indicating growing demand from funds looking to increase their holdings.
Market analyst Chad Steingraber presented a forecast showing how intense ETF accumulation could be if issuers adopt a strategy similar to that of Bitcoin ETFs. His estimates suggest a period of aggressive buying that could shrink XRP’s available supply much faster than anticipated. Here are the details.
Breaking Down Steingraber’s Projection
In his first scenario, Steingraber considers a steady accumulation model where 12 Spot XRP ETF issuers each buy an average of 3 million XRP per day. He focuses on the combined average impact rather than singling out any one fund, as the collective effect is what will influence XRP’s market price.
Under this model, daily inflows could reach 36 million XRP. Over a five-day trading week, that would total 180 million XRP. Monthly accumulation would rise to 720 million XRP, and over a full year, as much as 8.64 billion XRP could be taken out of public circulation and held in ETFs.
These figures assume consistent net inflows without any outflows. While hypothetical, the pace matches early trends seen in Bitcoin ETFs, where strong average demand across issuers created sustained buying pressure.
A More Aggressive Scenario Based on Recent Activity
In another analysis, Steingraber proposed a more aggressive model using Bitwise’s Spot XRP ETF as a benchmark. On its first trading day, the Bitwise ETF saw inflows of about 5.82 million XRP.
In this second scenario, the daily acquisition rate per issuer doubles to roughly 6 million XRP. If all 12 funds follow this pattern, combined daily accumulation could hit 72 million XRP. Over a week, that would total 360 million XRP, and monthly totals could reach around 1.44 billion XRP. Over a year, this model would see 17.28 billion XRP absorbed by ETFs.
Steingraber commented, “The entire XRP public supply will be gone unless the price goes astronomically high.”
These projections highlight how quickly XRP’s supply landscape could shift once ETF inflows stabilize and major players like Grayscale, Bitwise, Canary, CoinShares, Franklin, 21Shares, and WisdomTree ramp up their activity.
However, BlackRock, which manages the largest Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, has not yet entered the XRP ETF space. The company confirmed in August that it has no immediate plans to file for a Spot XRP ETF.
Frequently Asked Questions
Of course Here is a list of helpful and clear FAQs about XRP ETFs and the potential for intense buying activity
BeginnerLevel Questions
1 What is an XRP ETF
An XRP ETF is an exchangetraded fund that tracks the price of XRP Instead of buying and holding XRP directly in a crypto wallet you can buy shares of the ETF through a traditional stock brokerage just like you would a stock
2 Why would an XRP ETF experience intense buying activity
Intense buying can happen for a few key reasons
New Access It makes buying XRP easy for millions of investors who use regular brokerages but are unfamiliar with crypto exchanges
Institutional Demand Large investment firms and pension funds which often cant invest directly in cryptocurrencies can pour massive amounts of money into an approved ETF
Speculation Hype If investors believe the price will rise after the ETF launches they may buy shares aggressively to get in early creating a buying frenzy
3 What are the main benefits of an XRP ETF over buying XRP directly
Simplicity Buy it in your existing brokerage account
Security You dont need to manage a private crypto wallet eliminating the risk of losing your keys or being hacked
Regulation Its regulated by financial authorities like the SEC which can provide a sense of safety for traditional investors
Tax Simplicity In some jurisdictions it might be easier to handle taxes within a traditional brokerage account
4 Is an XRP ETF approved and available to buy right now
As of now a spot XRP ETF has not been approved by regulators like the US Securities and Exchange Commission The market is watching for any news or filings that could change this
Advanced Practical Questions
5 Whats the difference between a spot XRP ETF and a futuresbased one
Spot XRP ETF This fund would hold actual XRP tokens in reserve Its share price directly reflects the live market price of XRP This is what most crypto advocates are pushing for