Mai nazarin Crypto, Crypto Rover, ya nuna layin da Bitcoin bai taɓa faɗuwa ƙarƙashinsa ba a kowane zagayen kasuwa. Babban cryptocurrency yanzu ya taɓa wannan layin, yana ƙara bege cewa zai iya tashi daga wannan matakin, kamar yadda ya yi a zagayen faɗuwa da suka gabata.
Bitcoin Ya Taɓa Layin Da Ya Kai Ga Tashin Parabolic
A wani rubutu a X, Crypto Rover ya bayyana cewa Bitcoin ya sake taɓa layin da bai faɗi ƙarƙashinsa ba cikin shekaru tara. A baya, duk lokacin da BTC ya taɓa wannan layin, ya ci gaba da ganin hauhawar farashi mai yawa. Misali, a 2017, ya tashi da kashi 1,300% bayan taɓa layin; a 2018, ya tashi da kashi 1,900%; a 2020, ya sake hauhawa da kashi 1,900%; kuma a 2022, ya tashi da kashi 700% bayan taɓa shi.
Yanzu, Bitcoin ya sake taɓa wannan layin, yana haifar da kyakkyawan fata cewa zai iya tashi daga wannan yanki kamar yadda ya yi a zagayen da suka gabata. Duk da haka, a wani rubutu a X, Crypto Rover ya nuna cewa BTC bai sami ƙasa ba tukuna kuma yana iya faɗuwa ƙasa da $60,000 kafin ya yi hakan. Wannan sharhi ya zo yayin da yake magana kan farashin da aka gane na Bitcoin.
Ya lura cewa an riga an kai farashin da aka gane na masu riƙe na ɗan gajeren lokaci (STH) na $74,000, amma farashin da aka gane na $53,600 da na masu riƙe na dogon lokaci (LTH) na $50,000 ba a kai ba. Crypto Rover ya ƙara da cewa kowane ƙasan zagaye na baya ya yi ciniki ƙasa da farashin da aka gane, kuma kowane babban sharewar kasuwa ya taɓa layin LTH. Saboda haka, BTC na iya ganin wani faɗuwa kafin ya kai ƙasa.
Bitcoin kuma yana cikin haɗarin ƙarin faɗuwa yayin da rikici tsakanin Amurka da Iran ya sake ƙaruwa. Amurka ta kai hare-hare a kan wuraren soji a Iran, wanda ya haifar da hare-haren ramuwar gayya a sansanonin sojin Amurka a yankin Gulf.
Faɗuwa Ƙasa da $50,000 Kuma Mai Yiwuwa Ne
Mai nazarin Crypto, Ali Martinez, ya nuna cewa Bitcoin na iya faɗuwa ƙasa da $50,000. Ya yi nuni ga Farashin Mai Zuba Jari, wanda ya lura yanzu yana $48,300, kuma ya ce wannan matakin wani muhimmin yanki ne da yake kallo don tara kuɗi na dogon lokaci. Martinez ya bayyana wannan ma'auni a matsayin ɗaya daga cikin mafi mahimmancin alamomin kan-sarkar ga BTC.
Ya bayyana cewa Farashin Mai Zuba Jari yana auna matsakaicin farashin siyan duk Bitcoin mai aiki ta tattalin arziki, ban da tsabar kuɗin da aka rasa har abada, don ba da ingantaccen tushen farashi na kasuwa gabaɗaya. Duk da haka, ya kamata a lura cewa Martinez a baya ya ce akwai alamun cewa Bitcoin na iya kusantar ƙasan kasuwa. Ya yi nuni ga ma'aunin MVRV na 1.0-0.8, waɗanda suka daidaita a $53,900 da $43,150.
A lokacin rubuta wannan, Bitcoin yana ciniki a kusan $62,600, ya tashi a cikin sa'o'i 24 da suka gabata, bisa ga bayanai daga CoinMarketCap.
Hotuna daga Getty Images, jadawali daga TradingView.com
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da manufar Bitcoin bai taɓa karya wannan layin ba kuma farashin ya sake taɓa shi, an rubuta su cikin yanayi na halitta da abokantaka.
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
Q Ina jin Bitcoin bai karya wannan layin ba. Menene hakan ke nufi?
A Yana nufin akwai wani matakin farashi na musamman da Bitcoin ya tashi daga kansa sau da yawa a baya amma bai taɓa faɗuwa ƙarƙashinsa ba. Lokacin da farashin ya sake taɓa shi, 'yan kasuwa suna tunanin zai iya tashi sama ko kuma ya karya shi.
Q Wannan layi ne da aka zana a kan jadawali? Wanene ya yanke shawarar inda yake?
A E, layi ne a kan jadawalin farashi. Babu wanda ya yanke shawarar shi—'yan kasuwa suna zana shi bisa farashin da suka gabata inda Bitcoin ya juya hanya. Layin tafiya ne ko matakin tallafi wanda ya riƙe tsawon watanni ko shekaru.
Q Idan bai taɓa karyewa ba a baya, hakan yana nufin zai riƙe yanzu?
A A'a. "Bai taɓa karyewa ba" yana nufin yana da tarihi mai ƙarfi. Amma tarihi ba alƙawari ba ne. Farashin zai iya karya shi a wannan karon, wanda zai zama babban abu.
Q Menene zai faru idan Bitcoin ya faɗi ƙarƙashin wannan layin?
A Idan ya karya kuma ya tsaya ƙarƙashinsa, yana iya nufin babban faɗuwar farashi. 'Yan kasuwa da yawa za su sayar da gaggawa, kuma layin zai iya zama sabon rufi maimakon bene.
Q Ya kamata in sayi Bitcoin yanzu saboda ya taɓa wannan layin?
A Ba lallai ba. Taɓa layin tallafi na iya zama alamar siye, amma yana da haɗari. 'Yan kasuwa da yawa suna jira don ganin ko farashin zai tashi farko. Kada ka taɓa saka kuɗin da ba za ka iya rasa ba.
Tambayoyi na Matakin Ci Gaba
Q Wane layi ne mutane suke magana akai?
A Yawancin lokaci, matsakaicin motsi na mako 200 ne ko layin tafiya na logarithmic na shekaru da yawa. Ga Bitcoin, matsakaicin motsi na mako 200 ya kasance bene a lokacin faɗuwar kasuwa. Lokacin da farashin ya taɓa shi, gwaji ne mai mahimmanci.
Q Me yasa wannan layin ya riƙe tsawon lokaci? Arziki ne kawai?