Yayin da Bitcoin (BTC) ke ƙoƙarin riƙe matakin $80,000 a matsayin tallafi, wasu manazarta kasuwa suna yin gargaɗi game da wani yanki na juriya mai mahimmanci wanda zai iya tantance ko ci gaban hauhawar babbar cryptocurrency ɗin zai ci gaba ko kuma ya tsaya.
Tashin Huhuwar Bitcoin Ya Kai Wani Muhimmin Juriya
A cikin nazarin ranar Talata, mai lura da kasuwa Ali Martinez ya nuna "shingen juriya mai mahimmanci wanda zai iya kawo ƙarshen tashin huhuwar Bitcoin na baya-bayan nan," wanda ya tura farashin zuwa matakan da suka fi girma cikin watanni. Ya bayyana cewa BTC yana ƙoƙarin ketare Matsakaicin Motsi Mai Sauƙi na kwanaki 200 (SMA), wanda a yanzu yake kusan $82,500, har tsawon kwanaki uku a jere. Idan ya ketare wannan matakin, Martinez ya ce, zai iya haifar da tashin huhuwa zuwa $94,000. Amma idan aka ƙi shi, farashin zai iya komawa baya don gwada SMA na kwanaki 50 kusa da $75,000. Rashin dawo da wannan matakin na iya nufin kasuwa "tana kokawa don samun ƙarar da ake buƙata don ci gaba da fashewa."
Martinez kuma ya lura cewa canjin kwanan nan a halayen masu hakar ma'adinai na iya ƙarfafa wannan juriya. A cikin watan da ya gabata, masu hakar Bitcoin suna ci gaba da samun riba, suna siyar da fiye da 3,400 BTC da suka riƙe tun lokacin da farashin ya kai kusan $72,000. Suna yin haka ne don biyan kuɗi ko kuma kulle riba a matakan da suka kai kwanan nan. "Wannan ƙarin wadata na iya ƙarfafa juriyar sama," in ji shi.
A halin yanzu, 'yan kasuwa na yau da kullun da na gaba suna "ƙara haɗarin sha'awarsu da ƙarfi," tare da Matsakaicin Leverage na Ƙididdiga ya kai matsayi mafi girma na shekara. Wannan yana nuna cewa kasuwa ta wuce gona da iri kuma tana dogaro da kuɗin aro. Mafi yawan wannan leverage yana kan matsayi na dogon lokaci, yana haifar da bangon rushewa a $75,000, $73,000, da $70,000, in ji Martinez. Ya yi gargaɗi cewa idan Bitcoin ba zai iya mayar da juriyar $82,500 zuwa tallafi ba, "kasuwa na iya neman share wannan leverage ta hanyar gwada waɗannan matakan ƙasa."
Shin Bitcoin Zai Fuskanci Wani Gyara?
Manazarcin Rekt Capital ya ba da ra'ayi mai faɗi, yana ba da shawarar cewa Bitcoin na iya kasa dawo da wannan muhimmin juriya kuma zai iya faɗi zuwa sabbin matakan ƙasa a cikin watanni masu zuwa. Ya nuna cewa BTC ya rushe daga gindin triangle na macro kusa da $82,500, wanda ya mayar da farashin don sake gwada EMA na watanni 50. A tarihi, lokacin da Bitcoin ya rushe daga triangle na macro, yana sake gwada EMA na watanni 50 a matsayin tallafi, yana tashi na ɗan lokaci, sannan ya faɗi zuwa ƙasan kasuwar bear.
"A wannan karon, mun riga mun tashi. Amma tarihi ya nuna cewa wannan tashin zai iyakance, kuma za mu rasa tallafin EMA na watanni 50, ya zama juriya kafin mu zauna a cikin gungu a ƙarƙashinsa," in ji Rekt Capital.
Ya kuma lura cewa EMA na watanni 50 ya yi daidai da mafi girman kowane lokaci na 2021 (ATH), wanda yake babban yanki na tallafi da ya zama juriya a lokacin tashin ATH na farkon 2024. Wannan tashin ya buɗe ƙofar zuwa gudu na 2025 zuwa sabon ATH. Yayin da Bitcoin ke sake gwada wannan yanki a matsayin tallafi kuma yana fuskantar juriya mai ƙarfi kusa da gindin triangle na macro, Rekt Capital ya yi jayayya cewa wannan tashin na iya zama mai rauni. "Tarihi ya nuna cewa tallafin EMA na watanni 50 zai iya ɓacewa ya zama juriya. Wannan shaida ce mai ƙarfi ga ka'idar tashin mai rauni. Idan aka ƙi mu daga wannan yanki na juriya mai haɗaka—ƙarancin macro da gindin triangle na macro—to wannan tashin zai yi ƙanƙanta fiye da wanda muka gani a 2024," in ji shi.
Hoto daga Unsplash.com, Chart daga TradingView.com
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da ake yi yawa game da tashin huhuwar Bitcoin da ke fuskantar barazana daga wani muhimmin matakin juriya, an rubuta su cikin yanayin tattaunawa na halitta tare da amsoshi bayyanannu da sauki.
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
1 Menene ma'anar matakin juriya ga Bitcoin
Kamar rufin farashi ne Lokacin da farashin Bitcoin ya ci gaba da buga wani lamba sannan ya sake faɗi, wannan lambar matakin juriya ne Inda mutane da yawa ke siyarwa, suna hana farashin yin girma
2 Me yasa wannan matakin juriya yake da mahimmanci ga tashin huhuwar
Idan Bitcoin ya kasa ketare wannan rufin, tashin huhuwar yana tsayawa Yana nufin masu siye ba su da ƙarfi don tura farashin sama, don haka farashin na iya fara faɗi maimakon Tashin huhuwar yana cikin matsala saboda yana makale
3 Ta yaya za ku san idan tashin huhuwar ya ƙare da gaske
Ku nemi ƙi bayyananne Idan Bitcoin ya buga matakin juriya sannan ya faɗi da ƙarfi tare da babban ƙarar ciniki, wannan mummunan alama ce Idan ya zauna a ƙarƙashin matakin na kwanaki ba tare da motsi sama ba, wannan ma rauni ne
4 Shin wannan yana faruwa ne saboda mummunan labari
Ba lallai ba Wani lokaci fasaha ce kawai Kasuwa ta buga farashin da mutane da yawa suka saya a baya ko kuma inda manyan 'yan kasuwa suka sanya umarnin siyarwa Yana game da wadata da buƙata a wannan takamaiman farashin
5 Me zan yi idan na mallaki Bitcoin a yanzu
Kada ku firgita Matakin juriya baya tabbatar da faɗuwa Kuna iya jira don ganin idan ya ketare Shawara ce ta gama gari ta sanya odar tsayawa (stoploss) a ƙarƙashin matakin juriya don kare ribar ku idan farashin ya faɗi ba zato ba tsammani
Tambayoyin Matakin Ci Gaba
6 Wane matakin juriya na musamman ne 'yan kasuwa ke kallo a yanzu
Yayin da yake canzawa kullum, mafi yawan matakin da ake ambata shine 7300074000 Rufe sama da wannan tare da babban ƙarar zai zama fashewa Ƙi a can zai zama babbar alamar gargaɗi
7 Shin matakin juriya zai iya zama tallafi daga baya
Ee, tabbas Idan Bitcoin ya ƙarshe ya ketare