Shugabar ARK Invest, Cathie Wood, ta tsaya kan hasashenta cewa Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa dala miliyan 1.25 a cikin shekaru biyar, tana nuna zuba jari na hukumomi, rawar da yake takawa a matsayin madadin zinari na dijital, da kuma ƙayyadaddun wadatarsa a matsayin manyan dalilan hasashen. Ta yi magana a Fox Business In Depth: The Crypto Campaign a ranar 26 ga Mayu, Wood ta bayyana cewa burin ARK na dala miliyan 1.25 shi ne yanayin bull case, ba yanayin base case ba. Base case, in ji ta, "ya fi kusa da $750,000." Ta bayyana burin da ya fi girma a matsayin sakamakon abubuwa da yawa da ke faruwa a lokaci guda: matasa masu zuba jari suna kallon Bitcoin a matsayin ma'ajiyar darajar dijital, mutane a kasuwanni masu tasowa suna amfani da shi don kariya daga kudaden da ba su da karko, da masu sarrafa kadarori suna fara ɗaukar crypto a matsayin nau'in zuba jari na daban. "Babban dalili shi ne karɓuwa daga hukumomi," in ji Wood. "Wannan sabon nau'in kadara ne. Yana da alaƙa kaɗan da sauran nau'ikan kadarori dangane da haɗari da riba. Don haka kowane mai rabon kadara yana da alhakin duba shi saboda yana iya inganta ribar da aka daidaita da haɗari a kan lokaci."
Me yasa Bitcoin Zai Iya Kai Dala Miliyan 1.25 A Cikin Shekaru Biyar
Wannan gardama game da rabon kadara ta kasance mahimmin abu ga ra'ayin ARK game da Bitcoin na ɗan lokaci. A ganin Wood, darajar Bitcoin ba ta ta'allaka ne kawai ga hasashe ba. Tana ganinsa a matsayin mai yuwuwar maye gurbin zinari yayin da dukiya ke wucewa tsakanin tsararraki, tare da matasa masu zuba jari da suka fi son "ma'ajiyar darajar dijital." Ta kuma kira Bitcoin "manufar inshora," musamman a kasuwanni masu tasowa da ke fuskantar abin da ta bayyana a matsayin "sakaci na kasafin kuɗi da kuɗi a mafi kyau ko cin hanci a mafi muni."
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Wood ta kuma danganta yuwuwar ci gaban Bitcoin da faɗaɗa kasuwar stablecoin, ko da yake ba ta hanyar da wasu masu sha'awar crypto za su yi tsammani ba. Maimakon hasashen cewa stablecoins za su maye gurbin dala, ta yi gardamar cewa za su iya ƙara ƙarfin dala a duniya, tunda manyan stablecoins da ke da goyon bayan dala sun dogara ne akan Takardun Kuɗi na Amurka. "Saboda stablecoins, dala za ta kasance da ƙarfi," in ji Wood. "Don haka a zahiri, stablecoins, kamar USDC daga Circle da USDT daga Tether, suna da goyon bayan Takardun Kuɗi na Amurka. Don haka idan suka yi nasara a duniya, za mu fitar da daloli. Wannan ya kamata ya zama mai kyau ga dala."
A lokaci guda, Wood ta ce tana ganin canji a rabon kadara ya fara zuwa ga Bitcoin da sauran kadarorin crypto, tana sake ambaton ƙarancin alaƙar su da kasuwanni na gargajiya.
Doka wani babban batu ne. Wood ta ce Dokar GENIUS da watakila Dokar CLARITY na iya ƙirƙirar tsarin da zai baiwa hukumomi damar shiga kasuwar crypto da ƙarfi. Ta lura cewa gwamnati tana son a gama CLARITY zuwa ranar 4 ga Yuli, ko da yake ba ta da tabbacin ko za a cika wannan wa'adin. "Ina tsammanin da zarar mun yi, saboda damar da ta ƙaru kwanan nan cewa za a zartar da ita, za mu ga ƙarin shigar hukumomi a sararin samaniya," in ji Wood.
Wanda ya kafa ARK ya kuma haskaka tsarin wadatar Bitcoin idan aka kwatanta da zinari. Ta lura cewa kusan Bitcoin miliyan 20 an riga an haƙa su daga iyakar miliyan 21, inda kawai kusan miliyan 1 ya rage a fitar. Wadatar zinari, a gefe guda, tana ƙaruwa da kusan kashi 1% a kowace shekara, in ji ta, kuma tana iya ƙaruwa saboda hauhawar farashin kwanan nan. "Bitcoin ana auna shi da lissafi," in ji Wood. "Ba za a sami amsawar wadata ba. Ana auna shi da lissafi kawai. A yanzu yana ƙaruwa da kusan kashi 0.9% a kowace shekara, wanda ya yi ƙasa da ƙimar zinari na dogon lokaci. Kuma a cikin shekaru biyu masu zuwa, zai ragu zuwa kashi 0.45% a kowace shekara."
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Wood ta yarda da muhawara kan yadda Bitcoin ke aiki idan aka kwatanta da zinari a lokutan matsin tattalin arziki, lokacin da zinari wani lokaci ya tashi yayin da Bitcoin ya fadi. Amma ta yi gardamar cewa alaƙar da ke tsakanin kadarorin biyu ta kasance mara ƙarfi a cikin dogon lokaci, tare da alaƙa na 0.14 kawai tun daga 2019, lokacin da hukumomi suka fara ɗaukar Bitcoin da muhimmanci a matsayin nau'in kadara. Ta kuma lura cewa zinari ya kasance yana jagorantar Bitcoin a cikin zagayowar kwanan nan, amma ta ba da shawarar cewa wannan yanayin yanzu yana iya canzawa yayin da Bitcoin ke samun ƙarfi yayin da zinari ke rasa ƙarfi. A ganinta, dala mai ƙarfi na iya haifar da ɗan tashin hankali ga zinari, yayin da labarin karɓuwar Bitcoin daga hukumomi ke ci gaba da canzawa da kansa. A lokacin bugawa, BTC yana ciniki a $75,034. Hoton da aka ƙirƙira da DALL.E, ginshiƙi daga TradingView.com.
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da ake yi yawa game da hasashen farashin Bitcoin na Cathie Wood da aka rubuta cikin yanayin tattaunawa na halitta tare da amsoshi bayyanannu
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
1 Wanene Cathie Wood kuma me yasa ya kamata in damu da hasashenta na Bitcoin
Cathie Wood ita ce Shugabar ARK Invest, wani kamfani na zuba jari da aka sani. Ta shahara saboda hasashen dogon lokaci mai ƙarfi game da hannayen jari na fasaha da crypto. Mutane suna kula saboda kamfaninta yana da tarihin ganin manyan abubuwa da wuri.
2 Da gaske tana cewa Bitcoin zai kai dala miliyan 1.25
Ee. Ta sha bayyana cewa Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa dala miliyan 1.25 nan da 2030. Tana ganinsa a matsayin babban ɓangare na tsarin kuɗi na duniya, ba kawai kadara ta hasashe ba.
3 Me yasa take ganin Bitcoin yana da daraja sosai
Ta yi imanin cewa Bitcoin zai zama kadara ta ajiyar dijital ta duniya. Ta yi gardamar cewa idan Bitcoin ya ɗauki ƙaramin kaso na kasuwar lamuni ta duniya, kasuwar zinari, da sauran kadarorin ajiyar daraja, farashinsa zai tashi sosai.
4 Shin wannan hasashen gaskiya ne ko kuma hasashe ne kawai
Hasashe ne mai ƙarfi sosai. Yayin da wasu manazarta suka yarda cewa Bitcoin yana da babbar dama, yawancin masu hasashen na yau da kullun suna hasashen lambobi mafi ƙanƙanta. Ana ɗaukarsa a matsayin yanayin bull case, ba garanti ba.
5 Me zai buƙaci ya faru don Bitcoin ya kai dala miliyan 1.25
Abubuwa da yawa. Zai buƙaci karɓuwa mai yawa daga hukumomi, dokoki bayyanannu na duniya, da kuma Bitcoin ya zama hanya ta yau da kullun ta ajiyar daraja—kamar zinari amma na dijital.
Tambayoyin Matakin Ci Gaba
6 Wane takamaiman bayanai ko samfura ne Cathie Wood ke amfani da su don isa ga dala miliyan 1.25
ARK Invest tana amfani da samfurin base case da bull case. Bull case yana ɗauka cewa Bitcoin ya ɗauki kaso mai mahimmanci na kadarorin kuɗi na duniya. Suna ƙididdige jimillar kasuwar da Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa a kusan $1.2 quadrillion, kuma idan Bitcoin ya ɗauki kashi 5-10% na wannan, farashin kowane tsabar zai iya kaiwa lambobi shida ko bakwai.
7 Ta yaya hasashenta yake ɗaukar canjin darajar Bitcoin da faɗuwar da ta gabata
Ta yarda da canjin darajar amma tana gardamar cewa siffa ce, ba matsala ba. Ta kwatanta Bitcoin da hannayen jari na fasaha na farko kamar Amazon ko Tesla, waɗanda su ma sun fuskanci canjin darajar sosai.