Fassarar rubutun daga Turanci zuwa Hausa:
Motsin farashin Bitcoin a cikin makon da ya gabata ya rage saurin tashin farashi wanda ya fara a farkon Afrilu. A cewar CoinMarketCap, farashin ya ragu da kashi 1.45% a cikin makon ciniki mai tsauri, yayin da masu siye suka kasa ketare matakin juriya na $82,000. Wannan halin da ake ciki ya haifar da ra'ayoyi daban-daban tsakanin manazarta: wasu suna ganin wannan juriya a matsayin dakatarwa ne kawai a kasuwa mai farfadowa, yayin da wasu ke da ra'ayin faɗuwa kuma suna hasashen wani babban faɗuwa, mai yiwuwa zuwa ainihin gindin kasuwa.
A cikin wani rubutu a kan X a ranar 15 ga Mayu, tsohon manazarcin Titan of Crypto (@washigorira) ya raba ra'ayinsa game da alkiblar Bitcoin ta amfani da samfurin Bitcoin Power Law V2.0. Wannan samfurin farashi ne na dogon lokaci wanda ke nuna cewa farashin Bitcoin yana bin tsarin girma mai iya tsinkaya idan aka nuna shi a kan ma'aunin logarithmic. Kamar yadda ginshiƙi da ke ƙasa ya nuna, Bitcoin ya kasance a cikin iyakokin samfurin na sama da ƙasa a duk tarihinsa, tare da kowane babban gindin kasuwa yana tsaye a sama da ƙaramin goyon baya mai kore.
A cikin hasashe da yawa cewa tashin farashin na baya-bayan nan na iya zama tarkon bijimi, samfurin Bitcoin Power Law ya nuna cewa idan babban faɗuwar kasuwa ta faru, mafi munin farashin Bitcoin a halin yanzu yana kusa da $42,800. A wannan yanayin, sakamako mara kyau na iya nufin faɗuwar kashi 50% daga farashin yanzu.
Duk da haka, Titan of Crypto da kansa ya yi imani cewa Bitcoin zai riƙe matsayinsa na yanzu kuma ya ci gaba da tashinsa. Ya nuna cewa tsarin kasuwar Bitcoin na yanzu yana kama da zagayowar 2018–2019, lokacin da farashin ya yi nasarar riƙe matakin goyon baya na farko kafin ya yi babban fashewa. Idan Bitcoin ya bi wannan tsari, tashinsa na yanzu zai iya wuce mafi girman farashi na kowane lokaci kuma ya kai sabon kololuwa sama da $200,000, a kusa da tsakiyar matakin farashi na samfurin Bitcoin Power Law.
Duk da haka, waɗannan hasashe sun dogara da abubuwa da yawa, ciki har da manufofin tattalin arzikin duniya, karɓuwa daga cibiyoyi, da ci gaban tsarin mulki—dukkan waɗannan suna taka muhimmiyar rawa wajen tsara yanayin kasuwa gaba ɗaya.
Takaitaccen Bayanin Farashin Bitcoin
A lokacin buga wannan labari, ana cinikin Bitcoin a $78,361, wanda ya ragu da kashi 2.72% a cikin kwana ɗaya. Yayin da ƙarfin Bitcoin ke ci gaba da raguwa a watan Mayu, ginshiƙin farashin wata ya nuna ribar kashi 4.50%. Don ci gaba da tashinsa na yanzu, Bitcoin yana buƙatar ketare matakin juriya mai ƙarfi na $82,000, wanda zai iya buɗe ƙofar zuwa babban matakin juriya na gaba a $88,000. A gefen faɗuwa, masu siye dole ne su kare mahimmin matakin goyon baya na $78,000, saboda faɗuwa ƙasa da wannan na iya kawo ƙarshen motsi na yanzu tare da faɗuwa.
Hoton da aka nuna daga Pexels, ginshiƙi daga Tradingview
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da Bitcoin Power Law da yuwuwar faɗuwar sa zuwa 42800, an tsara su bisa matakin wahala
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
1 Menene Bitcoin Power Law
Samfurin lissafi ne wanda ke duban bayanan farashin Bitcoin na tarihi Yana nuna cewa a cikin dogon lokaci, farashin Bitcoin yana bin tsarin girma mai iya tsinkaya kamar layi mai lankwasa a kan ginshiƙi inda farashin yawanci yake tashi a kan lokaci amma tare da manyan hawa da sauka
2 Shin wannan yana nufin Bitcoin zai faɗi zuwa 42800 ba shakka
A'a Samfurin Power Law samfurin ne ba garanti ba Yiwuwar lissafi ne ba hasashe ba Adadin 42800 shine mafi ƙarancin farashi da samfurin ya nuna don wani lokaci na musamman idan mummunar kasuwa ta faru
3 Yaushe Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa 42800
Samfurin bai bayar da takamaiman kwanan wata ba Yana nuna cewa idan babban faɗuwar farashi ta faru, 42800 shine gindi don zagayowar kasuwa na yanzu Wannan na iya faruwa a lokacin dogon faɗuwar kasuwa, mai yiwuwa a ƙarshen 2024 ko zuwa 2025
4 Shin ya kamata in sayar da Bitcoin na yanzu saboda wannan hasashe
Ba lallai ba Samfurin Power Law tsarin dogon lokaci ne Masu zuba jari da yawa suna amfani da shi don kada su sayar da firgita a lokacin faɗuwa Idan kun yi imani da darajar Bitcoin na dogon lokaci, faɗuwa zuwa 42800 na iya zama damar siye ba dalilin sayarwa ba
5 Shin Bitcoin Power Law daidai yake da samfurin StocktoFlow
A'a sun bambanta Samfurin StocktoFlow yana mai da hankali kan ƙarancin samuwa Samfurin Power Law ya dogara ne kawai akan tarihin farashi da tsarin lissafi Dukansu sun shahara amma babu ɗayansu da cikakke
Tambayoyi na Matakin Ci Gaba
6 Yaya ake lissafin faɗuwar 42800
Samfurin yana amfani da dabara Farashi = A × B^Lokaci Ta hanyar tsara bayanan farashin Bitcoin na tarihi, manazarta suna samun layin da ya fi dacewa Ƙarƙashin iyakar wannan layin da aka daidaita don lokacin yanzu yana ba da adadin 42800 Yana wakiltar ƙaramin band na 2-standarddeviation
7 Menene manyan raunin samfurin