Bayan koma bayan Ethereum (ETH) na baya-bayan nan, wasu manazarta sun nuna wani tsari na rashin kyau wanda ke nuna cewa babbar altcoin din na iya kara faduwa zuwa ga mafi karanciyar kasuwarta.
A ranar Talata, Ethereum ya fadi da kashi 5.5% daga bude kasuwarsa na yau, inda ya fadi kasa da alamar $1,900 a karon farko tun karshen watan Fabrairu. Altcoin din ya fita daga kewayon kwanaki biyar tsakanin $1,965 da $2,035, inda ya kai ga mafi karanciyar watanni biyu na $1,880.
Yayin da kasuwa gaba daya ta ja baya—ta tura Bitcoin (BTC) zuwa ga matakin tallafi na $67,000—mai lura da kasuwa Trader Tardigrade ya ce gyaran karshe na ETH na iya kusantowa, yana mai nuna cewa wani muhimmin tsari na rashin kyau yana "maimaita daidai." Dan kasuwa ya nuna faduwa daga tsarin tutar bear akan jadawalin kwanaki uku. Wannan tsari yana faruwa tun daga faduwar kasuwa ta watan Fabrairu, inda cryptocurrency din ta fadi kasa da iyakarta ta kasa a tsakiyar watan Mayu lokacin da farashin ya rasa yankin $2,200.
Bisa ga jadawalin, wannan shi ne karo na biyu da wannan tsari ya bayyana tun daga kololuwar Q3 2025. Tsarin farko ya samo asali tsakanin karshen 2025 da farkon 2026, wanda ya kai ga faduwar kashi 40% a Q1 2026. Mafi mahimmanci, Ethereum yana kama da bin hanya daya da gyaran sa daga tashin Q4 2024–Q1 2025. Bayan ya kai kololuwa a karshen 2024, cryptocurrency din ya samar da tutocin bear guda biyu a jere, sannan ya sake faduwa, kafin ya kai ga mafi karanciyar gida kuma daga karshe ya fara sabon tashin bullish.
Yanzu, "tsarin yayi daidai. Faduwa daya. Saiti daya," wanda ke nuna cewa "faduwar karshe" zuwa ga mafi karanciyar kasuwa na iya zuwa nan ba da jimawa ba. "Da zarar wannan faduwa ta kammala, za mu tafi kai tsaye zuwa ga mataki na gaba mai fashewa," in ji dan kasuwa.
Ina ETH Zai Tafi?
Manazarta Rekt Capital ya lura cewa Ethereum ya rufe watan kasa da tashin sa na shekaru da yawa a karo na biyu cikin watanni biyar. Lokaci na karshe da wannan ya faru, altcoin din ya ga "motsi mai iyaka zuwa sama" amma an yi watsi da shi da sauri a matakin kwance na $2,400. Wannan yana nuna cewa tashoshi daga wannan layin tashin "suna raunana a fili," kuma tashin na shekaru da yawa "yana iya yin kasala."
Bisa ga bincike, ETH dole ne ya rike mafi karanciyar 2026 a kusa da $1,750 ko kuma ya dawo da tashin don kauce wa gyara mai zurfi. Hakazalika, Ali Martinez ya nuna wannan matakin a matsayin tallafi mai mahimmanci idan aka yi la'akari da motsin farashi na baya-bayan nan. Ya bayyana cewa Ethereum yana kusantar kasan tashar kwance ta watanni hudu, kusa da $1,825. A ganinsa, "wannan yanki na iya ba da shigar da hadari mai kyau da nufin $2,073 da $2,360, muddin farashin ya kasance sama da $1,750 a rufe yau da kullun."
Duk da haka, a baya ya yi gargadin cewa tun da aka yi watsi da farashin daga tsakiyar yankin tashar shekaru da yawa da kuma Matsakaicin Motsi Mai Sauki na mako 200 (SMA), altcoin din na iya fuskantar gyara mai zurfi. Don haka, idan ETH ya ga rufe mako kasa da $1,850, "saurin faduwa zai zama mai yiwuwa," tare da tsarin tashar yana nuna manyan manufofin faduwa guda biyu daga hangen fasaha. Martinez ya kammala cewa koma baya na farko zai ga Ethereum ya sake gwada tallafin tsari na wucin gadi a kusa da $1,560, yayin da gyara mai zurfi zai iya tura farashin kusa da kasan iyakar tashar shekaru da yawa, a $1,070.
Hotuna daga Unsplash.com, Jadawali daga TradingView.com
**Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa**
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da yiwuwar Ethereum ya ga faduwar sa ta karshe zuwa matakin 1900, wanda aka rubuta cikin sautin yanayi tare da amsoshi masu sauki.
**Tambayoyin Matakin Farko**
1. **Menene ma'anar faduwar karshe ta Ethereum?**
Hasashe ne cewa farashin Ethereum zai kai mafi karanciya kafin ya sake tashi ya fara farfadowa na dogon lokaci. "Karshe" yana nuna cewa wannan na iya zama babban faduwa na karshe kafin canjin yanayi.
2. **Me yasa kowa ke magana game da matakin 1900?**
1900 matakin tallafi ne mai mahimmanci—farashi inda 'yan kasuwa da yawa ke tsammanin masu siye za su shiga. Idan Ethereum ya fadi zuwa 1900 ya rike, zai iya nuna mafi karanciya. Idan ya fadi kasa, manazarta suna tsammanin farashi mafi karanciya.
3. **Ya kamata in sayi Ethereum yanzu idan zai fadi?**
Ba lallai ba. "Faduwar karshe" hasashe ne kawai, ba garanti ba. Yana da hadari don kokarin kama wuka mai faduwa. Masana da yawa suna ba da shawarar jira har farashin ya daidaita ko ya nuna alamun farfadowa kafin saye.
4. **Yaya karanci Ethereum zai iya kaiwa idan 1900 bai rike ba?**
Idan 1900 ya fadi, tallafi na gaba mai mahimmanci yana kusa da 1500-1600. Wasu manazarta ma sun yi gargadin faduwa zuwa 1200 idan yanayin kasuwa ya muni.
5. **Shin wannan faduwa lokaci ne mai kyau don fara saka hannun jari a Ethereum?**
Zai iya zama, amma kawai idan kun shirya don sauyin yanayi mai yawa. Saka hannun jari na dala-tsada ya fi aminci fiye da yin caca akan faduwa guda daya. Kada ku saka kudin da ba za ku iya rasa ba.
**Tambayoyin Matakin Tsaka-tsaki**
6. **Wadanne abubuwa ne ke sa manazarta su yi hasashen wannan faduwar karshe?**
Dalilai masu mahimmanci sun hada da gazawar Ethereum ya karya sama da 2200, karancin ciniki, da raunin sha'awar masu saye, rashin tabbas na kasuwar cryptocurrency gaba daya, da alamomin fasaha kamar RSI da ke nuna motsi na bearish.
7. **Yaya faduwar karshe ta Ethereum ke da alaka da motsin farashin Bitcoin?**
Ethereum yakan bi jagorancin Bitcoin. Idan Bitcoin ya fadi zuwa sabbin mafi karanciya, Ethereum yakan fadi da karfi. Don haka, faduwar karshe ta Ethereum na iya faruwa ne kawai idan Bitcoin ya nuna alamun kwanciyar hankali ko farfadowa.