Tabbatar da Bitcoin ya kai $100,000 kuma har yanzu hasashe ne da ake yi na 2026, amma wani ra'ayi na rashin kyau yana jayayya cewa wannan burin yana zama mai wuyar gaske yayin da motsin farashi ke raunana a ƙasa da matakin $80,000. Wannan hangen nesa ya fito daga manazarciyar crypto Alex Mason a dandalin sada zumunta X. Ya yi hasashen cewa Bitcoin ba zai sake kai $100,000 a wannan shekara ba saboda motsin farashinsa ya makale a cikin tarko da aka sarrafa a cikin tashar hawa.
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Tashar Hawa ta Bitcoin Ta Iya Zama Tarko
Bitcoin bai yi ciniki sama da $100,000 a 2026 ba, kuma yayin da shekara ta kusan rabin, taga don farfadowa sama da lambobi shida yana rufewa da sauri. A cikin watanni biyu da suka gabata, motsin farashi ya kasance an ayyana shi ta hanyar tashar hawa, inda Bitcoin ke samar da mafi girma da mafi girma a hankali tun daga ƙananan watan Fabrairu sama da $60,000. Iyakar sama ta yi aiki a matsayin juriya sau da yawa, yayin da layin kore na ƙasa shine babban goyon baya da ke kiyaye farfadowa.
Duk da haka, wannan tashar tana nuna hujjar rashin kyau. Tashar hawa na iya zama mai kyau a sama saboda farashin yana tafiya sama, amma kuma yana iya zama tsarin rarraba lokacin da kowane motsi na sama ya rasa ƙarfi. A cewar Mason, hawan Bitcoin a hankali a cikin tashar ya haifar da ƙarfin karya, yana ba wa 'yan kasuwa ra'ayin cewa fashewa zuwa $100,000 har yanzu yana gudana.
Lokacin mahimmanci da ya bayyana wannan ƙarfin karya shine motsi zuwa cikin gibin CME na $82,000. Bitcoin ya kai wannan gibin a farkon watan Mayu, ya kammala manufar, sannan ya fuskanci ƙin yarda da yawa tsakanin Mayu 6 da Mayu 11. Wannan tarko ne na littafi kafin mataki na gaba zuwa ƙasa.
Jadawalin Farashin Bitcoin. Tushen: @AlexMasonCrypto A X
Damar Bitcoin Na Kai $100,000 A 2026
Kamar yadda aka nuna a jadawalin da ke sama, Bitcoin yana komawa zuwa rabin ƙasa na tashar, yana sanya layin goyon baya na kore a matsin lamba. Idan wannan goyon baya ya karye, tsarin ba zai yi kama da farfadowa mai tsayi ba kuma farkon turawa zuwa sabon ƙasa. Matakin farko na sabon ƙasa shine rushewa daga tashar hawa. Daga nan, manufa ta gaba tana kusa da $70,000, sannan motsi mai zurfi zuwa sabon ƙasa a $60,000. Jadawalin ma ya kara da hanyar rashin kyau, tare da hasashen dige-dige yana motsawa zuwa ƙasa har $50,000 a farkon watan Yuli.
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Taro zuwa $100,000 zai buƙaci amincewa, ruwa, da kuma bin diddigin mai ƙarfi sama da juriya a $82,000. Bitcoin kuma zai buƙaci sake dawo da matsakaicin motsi na kwanaki 200 a kusa da wannan matakin. A cewar kasuwar hasashen Kalshi, akwai kawai kashi 32% na damar cewa Bitcoin zai sake karya sama da $100,000 kafin Janairu 2027.
Hoton da aka nuna daga Unsplash, jadawalin daga TradingView
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa dangane da bayanin cewa farashin Bitcoin ba zai sake kai $100,000 a wannan shekara ba
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
1. Jira, shin Bitcoin ya riga ya kai $100,000 a wannan shekara?
A'a, bai kai ba. Matsayin mafi girma na Bitcoin ya kusan 73,000. Tambayar ita ce ko zai iya kai $100,000 a karon farko kafin ƙarshen shekara.
2. Me yasa mutane ke tunanin ba zai kai $100,000 ba?
Saboda juriya na kasuwa, rashin tabbas na tsari, da kuma sanyin tsoron rasa damar da ke haifar da hauhawar farashi cikin sauri.
3. Shin wannan hasashe ne kawai ko akwai hujjar cewa ba zai faru ba?
Hasashe ne mai ƙarfi bisa yanayin yanzu, ba tabbataccen gaskiya ba. Babu wanda zai iya hasashen makomar crypto da kashi 100 na tabbaci, amma manazarta suna kallon yawan ciniki, bayanan tattalin arziki, da zagayowar da ta gabata don yin hasashe na ilimi.
4. Idan ba zai kai $100k ba, menene manufar farashi mai yiwuwa a wannan shekara?
Manazarta da yawa suna ba da shawarar cewa kewayon tsakanin $60,000 da $85,000 ya fi dacewa, dangane da yanayin tattalin arzikin duniya da sakamakon rabin Bitcoin na gaba.
Tambayoyi na Matsakaici da Ci Gaba
5. Wadanne matakan juriya na musamman ke hana Bitcoin kai $100k?
Babban juriya na tunani shine matsayin mafi girma na baya na $69,000. Bayan haka, akwai manyan umarnin siyarwa da aka tara tsakanin $75,000 da $85,000. Ketare waɗannan yana buƙatar sabon matsin siye mai yawa, wanda a yanzu ba ya nan.
6. Shin rabin Bitcoin yana tabbatar da hauhawar farashi zuwa $100k?
A tarihi, rabin yana haifar da hauhawar farashi, amma yana faruwa a cikin watanni 12-18, ba nan da nan ba. Rabin 2024 ya rage sabon wadata, amma tasirin yana raguwa ta hanyar yawan riba da ƙarfin dalar Amurka. Tasirin rabin ba zai iya tura farashi zuwa $100k a cikin shekara guda ba.
7. Yaya yanayin tattalin arzikin yanzu ke cutar da damar Bitcoin?
Bitcoin kadara ce mai haɗari. Lokacin da Babban Bankin Amurka ya kiyaye yawan riba