Talla: Bitcoin na iya faduwa zuwa kusan $30,000 a ƙarshen shekara — aƙalla bisa ga wani manazarci mai bin zane-zane da ake bi da yawa. Wannan hasashe mara daɗi, wanda ya dogara da wani tsari da ke da alaƙa da shekarun zaɓen tsakiyar wa'adi na Amurka, yana ƙara shakku game da ko Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa $250,000 a 2026.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Tashin Bitcoin na Bull Run? Manazarci Ya Ce Mafi Girma na Kowane Lokaci Zai Yiwu a Ƙarshen 2026, Amma Tsarin Shekarar Zaɓe Yana Tada Damuwa
Manazarci Merlijn The Trader ya nuna wani yanayi mai maimaitawa: Bitcoin yakan yi raguwa sosai a watan Mayu a shekarun zaɓen tsakiyar wa'adi. A 2014, ya fadi 60%. A 2018, ya fadi 65%. A 2022, raguwar ta kai 66%. Kowanne daga cikin waɗannan faduwar ya fara kusan Mayu. Idan 2026 ta bi tsari iri ɗaya, Bitcoin — wanda a yanzu yana ciniki kusan $77,000 — zai iya rasa fiye da 60% na darajarsa, ya sauka kusan $30,000.
"Kalmomi uku. Zagaye uku. Babu keɓantacce. Siyar. A. Mayu. Amma kawai a shekarun zaɓen tsakiyar wa'adi. 2014: -61%. 2018: -65%. 2022: -66%. 2026: shekarar tsakiyar wa'adi. -60.73% yana nuna $30K. Mayu yana zuwa. Zane bai yi ƙarya ba. Kalandar kuma ba ta yi ƙarya ba." — Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader), Afrilu 27, 2026
Manazarta Capital Group sun lura cewa zaɓen tsakiyar wa'adi yakan ƙara rashin tabbas a kasuwa, yayin da ayyukan yaƙin neman zaɓe ke ƙaruwa a lokacin bazara kuma masu saka hannun jari suka ja da baya daga kadarori masu haɗari. A tarihi, sun ce, wannan yanayi yana tura mutane zuwa ga taka tsantsan. A halin yanzu, Bitcoin yana ciniki kusan 40% ƙasa da mafi girman tarihinsa na kusan $126,000 daga Oktoba 2025. Duk da wannan faduwar, manyan masu fata kamar hamshakin attajirin nan Tim Draper da Tom Lee na Fundstrat ba su ja da baya daga burinsu na $250,000 na ƙarshen shekara ba — farashin da zai buƙaci cryptocurrency ɗin ya ninka fiye da sau uku daga matakin da yake yanzu.
"Masu Bitcoin: Wadanda daga cikinku ke hasashen $250,000 a 2026 suna buƙatar daina naman kaza. Wannan ana kiransa channel. $BTC. Yayin da ba ya hana ƙarin riba, ba tsari ne na ƙasa mai fata ba. The Factor Report yana ɗaukar nazarin zane na gargajiya." — The Factor Report (@PeterLBrandt), Afrilu 27, 2026
Peter Brandt Ya Fadawa Masu Fata Su Ajiye Naman Kaza
Tsohon mai ciniki na gaba Peter Brandt ya fi kai tsaye. Da yake mayar da martani ga hasashen $250,000, Brandt ya wallafa a shafin sada zumunta: "Wadanda daga cikinku ke hasashen $250,000 a 2026 suna buƙatar daina naman kaza." Ya nuna abin da ya bayyana a matsayin tsarin tutar bear da ke fitowa a zanen yau da kullun na Bitcoin — ba tsarin ƙasa ba, ya jaddada, amma ci gaba na halin yanzu na raguwa. Bisa ga wannan saitin, BTC ta gwada juriya kusa da $79,500 kafin ta nuna alamun ja da baya. Matsawa zuwa ƙasan iyakar tutar, kusan $69,000, yana yiwuwa a watan Mayu idan matsin siyarwa ya dawo. Brandt ya yi gargadin cewa raguwa mai tsanani a ƙasa da wannan layin na iya tura Bitcoin ƙasa da $50,000.
Bayanan Zagayen Halving Ya Nuna Cewa Mafi Girma Zai Iya Kasancewa Ya Wuce
Tarihin zagayen halving yana sa yanayin bear ya fi wuya a yi watsi da shi. Mafi girman farashin Bitcoin a tarihi ya zo watanni 12 zuwa 18 bayan kowane taron halving. Bayan halving na 2012, mafi girman ya zo a cikin watanni 12. Bayan 2016, ya zo a watanni 17. Bayan 2020, ya ɗauki watanni 18.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Ajiyar Bitcoin na Trump Zai Iya Kasancewa Kusa yayin da Fadar White House ke Nuna Babban Sabuntawa
Halving na baya-bayan nan ya faru a Afrilu 2024. Bitcoin ya kai mafi girman tarihinsa na $126,000 a Oktoba 2025 — daidai a alamar watanni 17 zuwa 18. Yanzu, fiye da watanni 24 bayan wannan halving, farashin yana kusan $77,000 kuma yana ci gaba da raguwa. Wannan lokaci, manazarta sun ce, ya yi daidai da mafi girman zagayen da suka gabata, yana nuna cewa mafi girman wannan zagaye na iya kasancewa a bayanmu.
Duk da haka, ba kowa ba ne ya shirya ya kira shi kasuwar bear. Manazarta a Bernstein sun nuna yiwuwar farfadowa zuwa kewayon $100,000 zuwa $150,000 — ra'ayi mai auna daidai wanda ba ya bin burin $250,000 ko kuma ya mika wuya ga mafi munin hasashe.
Hotun daga MetaAI, zane daga TradingView
Tambayoyi da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyi da ake yi akai-akai game da hasashen Bitcoin na kaiwa 250,000 nan da 2026 da aka rubuta cikin yanayi na halitta
1 Ina ci gaba da jin game da Bitcoin ya kai 250,000 nan da 2026 Shin hakan yana yiwuwa a zahiri
Yana yiwuwa a ka'ida amma hasashe ne mai tsananin ƙarfi Don Bitcoin ya kai wannan farashin, kasuwancinsa zai buƙaci ya wuce tiriliyan 5 Wannan zai buƙaci karɓuwa mai yawa daga manyan cibiyoyi, canjin tattalin arzikin duniya, ko raguwar darajar kuɗaɗen ƙasa mai tsanani Yawancin manazarta suna ganinsa a matsayin mafi kyawun yanayi, ba mai yiwuwa ba
2 Menene ma'anar "daina naman kaza" Me yasa manazarci ya faɗi haka
Hanya ce mai ban sha'awa ta cewa daina hasashe Manazarci yana gaya wa masu fata masu yawan kyakkyawan ra'ayi su daina shan naman kaza na psychedelic su dawo gaskiya Suna nuna cewa farashin 250k nan da 2026 fantasy ne bisa tunanin fata, ba bisa yanayin kasuwa na yanzu ko ƙimar girma na gaskiya ba
3 Menene zai faru don Bitcoin ya kai 250k a zahiri nan da 2026
Kuna buƙatar hadari mai cikakken tsari: Amurka da sauran manyan ƙasashe su karɓi Bitcoin a matsayin kadarar ajiyar dabarun, guguwar siyan taska na kamfanoni, da yiwuwar rikicin kuɗi na duniya inda mutane suka gudu zuwa Bitcoin a matsayin mafaka mai aminci Ko da haka, lokaci yana da matuƙar ƙunci
4 Shin akwai wani misali na tarihi na Bitcoin yin irin wannan tsalle a cikin shekaru biyu
Bitcoin ya yi gudu mai yawa a baya Amma daga farashin yanzu na kusan 60k70k zuwa 250k nan da 2026 zai zama riba 3.5x zuwa 4x Wannan tsalle ne mai wuya daga tushe mafi girma Riban kashi yana raguwa yayin da kasuwancin ke girma
5 Idan manazarci yayi daidai kuma mafarki ne, menene mafi kyawun farashin hasashe na 2026
Yawancin hasashe masu matsakaici sun sanya Bitcoin tsakanin $100,000 da $150,000 nan da ƙarshen 2026, idan aka ɗauka cewa zagayen yanzu ya ci gaba Wasu ma suna ganin faduwa kafin halving na gaba 250k yana kan saman kewayon harbin wata