Babban ɗan kasuwa Peter Brandt ya bayyana wani tsari mai dogaro da sharuɗɗa na dogon lokaci ga Bitcoin, yana nuna cewa zai iya kaiwa kololuwa tsakanin dala 300,000 zuwa 500,000 a ƙarshen shekarar 2029. Duk da haka, yana kuma jayayya cewa kasuwa har yanzu ba ta nuna irin aikin da yawanci ke nuna ƙaƙƙarfan gindi ba. A wani rubutu a shafin X, Brandt ya rubuta: "Idan Bitcoin ya ci gaba da bin tsarin zagayowar da ya fi ban mamaki a kowace kasuwa a cikin shekaru 15 da suka gabata, ana sa ran samun ƙarancin saka hannun jari a kusa da Satumba ko Oktoba 2026. Wannan ƙarancin zai iya ko ba zai iya ƙasa da ƙarancin Fabrairu 2026 ba. Babban mataki na gaba (idan tsarin ya riƙe) zai kasance tsakanin dala 300,000 zuwa 500,000 a Satumba ko Oktoba 2029." Don haka, Brandt ya danganta wannan manufa da sharadi ɗaya: cewa Bitcoin ya ci gaba da bin halin zagayowar da ya yi imanin ya bayyana shi kusan shekaru 15 da suka gabata. Wannan yana sanya nauyi mai yawa akan tsarin kusa. Kafin kowane yanayi na fashewa na 2029 ya faru, Brandt yana nuna cewa tsarin na yanzu har yanzu bai cika ba.
Me yasa Brandt Ba Ya Kira Gindin Bitcoin Tukuna
Wannan shakku ya fito fili a cikin martaninsa ga wani ginshiƙi da JDK Analysis ya raba. Amsar Brandt ta kasance a sarari: "Wannan bai yi kama da gindi ba."
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Farfaɗowar Bitcoin Ba Zai Iya Zuwa Ba Sai Oktoba, In ji Scaramucci
Ginshiƙin JDK ya yi jayayya cewa tashin na baya-bayan nan yana kama da "Short Re-Accumulation," amma kawai a ma'anar yiwuwa. Manazarcin ya rubuta, "Muddin bijimai ba su nuna ƙarfi a sarari da ci gaba ba, ƙarancin na yanzu bai cancanci zama ƙaƙƙarfan gindi ba. Wannan ra'ayi ne kawai na yiwuwa!" Tsarin ya nuna gwaje-gwaje na maimaitawa na manyan matakai na gida, raguwar girma yayin da farashi ya tashi, da matakin rashin inganci sama da kusan $80.5K. Ya nuna cewa ci gaba da ƙasa har yanzu shine hanya mafi yiwuwa idan masu siye ba su iya tilasta fashewa mai tsabta ba.
Brandt ya kuma haskaka mashahurin mai zanen ginshiƙi Aksel Kibar, yana kiransa "mafi ƙwararren manazarcin ginshiƙi na gargajiya mai rai a yau." Ra'ayin Kibar game da kasuwa bai kasance game da hasashe ba amma game da tsari, amma saƙon ya kasance iri ɗaya: tsarin fasaha na wucin gadi ne kawai har sai farashi ya tabbatar da su.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Bitcoin Ya Shiga Yanayin Rashin Imani Yayin da 'Yan Kasuwa Ke Ci Gaba da Gajarta Tashin
"Wani lokaci ina samun suka daga mabiya waɗanda ke da matsayi kuma suna son sabuntawa da ke tabbatar da wannan matsayi, ko suna son in 'daidaita' iyakokin," in ji Kibar. "To, yayin da kasuwa ke ba mu sabon bayani, muna buƙatar daidaitawa. Ba za mu iya zama masu tsattsauran ra'ayi game da bincikenmu ba. Abin da yake kama da wedge zai iya canzawa zuwa tashoshi. Abin da yake kama da ci gaba na bearish zai iya karya sama da iyakar tashoshi, yana buƙatar aiki."
Wannan sharhi ya haɗe da ginshiƙin BTC wanda ke nuna ainihin irin wannan tsarin canzawa. Abin da a baya ya yi kama da wedge mai tashi an sake fassara shi azaman tashoshi mafi bayyana, tare da ƙin yarda da yawa a iyakar sama. Ginshiƙin kuma ya nuna Bitcoin har yanzu yana ciniki ƙasa da layin juriya mai hawa da kuma ƙasa da matsakaicin kwanaki 365 kusa da $87,000. Faɗuwar ƙarshen Fabrairu zuwa $60,000 ta biyo bayan komawa zuwa yankin sama-$70,000. Matakan mahimmanci kusa da $76,500, $72,000, da ƙananan-$80,000 sun bayyana a tsakiyar yaƙin na yanzu.
A lokacin bugawa, BTC yana ciniki a $78,196.
Hoton da aka ƙirƙira tare da DALL.E, ginshiƙi daga TradingView.com
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da hasashen farashin Bitcoin na Peter Brandt da aka rubuta cikin yanayi na halitta tare da amsoshi kai tsaye
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
1 Wanene Peter Brandt kuma me yasa zan damu da hasashensa na Bitcoin
Peter Brandt ƙwararren ɗan kasuwa ne wanda ya shafe shekaru 40 yana nazarin kasuwanni Ya shahara don amfani da tsarin ginshiƙi na gargajiya don yin hasashe Mutane suna saurare saboda yana da dogon tarihi amma hasashensa har yanzu hasashe ne kawai
2 Shin Peter Brandt yana cewa Bitcoin zai kai 500,000 a ƙarshen 2029
Ba daidai ba Yana cewa bisa ga bincikensa na ginshiƙi, Bitcoin zai iya kaiwa tsakanin 300,000 zuwa 500,000 a ƙarshen 2029 Yana kiran wannan manufa ta farashi, ba garanti ba. Yana kuma gargadi cewa Bitcoin na iya faɗuwa kafin ya kai can
3 Me yasa yake tunanin Bitcoin zai tashi haka
Yana kallon zagayowar farashin Bitcoin na tarihi Ya yi imani cewa kasuwa ta yanzu tana bin tsari mai kama da zagayowar da ta gabata, kuma idan wannan tsari ya riƙe, kololuwar wannan zagayowar zai kasance kusan 200,000. Matsakaicin 300k-500k shine manufarsa na dogon lokaci don kololuwar zagayowar gaba a 2029
4 Shin ya kamata in sayi Bitcoin yanzu saboda wannan hasashen
A'a Kada ka taɓa yanke shawarar saka hannun jari bisa hasashe ɗaya ko da daga shahararren ɗan kasuwa ne Wannan ra'ayi ɗaya ne kawai Yi bincikenka na kanka, fahimtar haɗarin, kuma ka saka kuɗin da za ka iya rasa kawai
Tambayoyin Matsakaicin Mataki
5 Menene tsarin ginshiƙi da Peter Brandt ke amfani da shi don yin wannan hasashen
Yana kallon tsarin megaphone ko faɗaɗawa a kan ginshiƙi na dogon lokaci Wannan tsarin yana nuna manyan matakai masu girma da ƙananan matakai masu ƙasa, yana nuna ƙaruwar canji Ya yi imani cewa Bitcoin a yanzu yana cikin matakin fashewa na ƙarshe na wannan tsarin, wanda a tarihi yana kaiwa ga hauhawar farashi mai yawa
6 Yaya wannan hasashen yake kwatanta da sauran hasashen farashin Bitcoin
Yana kan ƙarshen mafi girma amma ba mafi hauka ba Wasu manazarta sun yi hasashen dala miliyan 1 nan da 2030 Hasashen Brandt ya fi kiyayewa