Yayin da Bitcoin (BTC) ke ƙoƙarin kiyaye matsayinsa a kusa da $74,000-$75,000, wani manazarci ya ba da shawarar cewa cryptocurrency ɗin na iya ƙara hawa da kashi 10% zuwa wani maƙasudi mai mahimmanci, amma ya yi gargadin cewa wannan matakin na iya zama iyaka.
A cikin binciken ranar Laraba, manazarci na cryptocurrency Rekt Capital ya zayyana yuwuwar hanyar Bitcoin yayin da yake riƙe yankin $73,000-$74,000 a matsayin goyan baya a karon farko cikin wata. Manazarcin ya nuna cewa BTC na ci gaba da ciniki tsakanin manyan kololuwar tarihi (ATHs) na 2021 da 2024, yankin da ya kasance babban tsayin daka tun farkon Fabrairu.
Bayan hawan kwanan nan, Bitcoin ya sake gwada ATH na 2021 a matsayin sabon matakin goyan baya akan jadawalin mako-mako amma a ƙarshe ya fuskanci ƙi a ATH na 2024 a makon da ya gabata. A cewar Rekt Capital, rufe mako sama da ATH na 2024—kusan $74,000—zai iya tura farashin zuwa sama da $70,000. "Har sai an tabbatar da haka, duk da haka, farashin zai ci gaba da kasancewa a tsakanin tsoffin Manyan Kololuwar Tarihi na 2021 da 2024," in ji shi.
Manazarcin ya kuma lura cewa Bitcoin ya samar da tsarin gindin biyu a kan jadawalin mako-mako kuma yanzu yana gwada tsayin daka na wannan tsari. Don tabbatar da ficewa, BTC yana buƙatar rufe mako-mako da kuma nasarar sake gwada saman tsarin kusa da $72,810. Idan an tabbatar, wannan na iya haifar da wani mataki da aka auna zuwa kewayon $81,000-$82,500.
Duk da haka, Rekt Capital ya yi gargadin cewa idan aka yi la'akari da yanayin zagayen kasuwa na yanzu, kowane tsari mai haɓakawa na iya gazawa a ƙarshe bayan lokaci. "Gazawar na iya faruwa ta hanyar ƙi daga tsayin daka na Gindin Biyu, ta hanyar gazawar sake gwaji bayan ficewa wanda ya haifar da ƙarya ficewa, ko kuma ta kasa kaiwa ga Matakin da aka Auna ko da bayan an tabbatar da ficewa," in ji shi.
BTC Yayi Kama da Halin 2014
Rekt Capital ya kuma dubi alamu na tarihi don auna dorewar hawan. Ya lura cewa lokacin da Bitcoin ya rabu daga tsarin triangle na macro, yawanci yana komawa baya don samar da gindin kasuwar bear—ko da yake hanyar ta bambanta kowane zagayowar.
A cikin 2018 da 2022, rushewar ya haifar da raguwa cikin sauri zuwa matakin tarawa na gindin kasuwar bear. Sabanin haka, 2014 ya ga Bitcoin yana ƙarfafa ƙasa da tushen triangle, ya sake gwada shi, sannan ya faɗi ƙara. A cewar manazarcin, halin BTC na yanzu yayi kama da tsarin 2014, kamar yadda yake ƙarfafa ƙasa da tushen triangle tun lokacin da ya rasa shi a watan Janairu.
Idan tarihi ya maimaita, Bitcoin zai iya ci gaba da ƙarfafawa, yuwuwar hawa zuwa tushe kusa da $82,500 kafin ya fuskanci ƙi. "Bugu da ƙari, Bitcoin yana son gina manyan lokutan ƙarfafawa bayan rushewa daga Triangles Macro. A cikin 2018 da 2022, waɗannan lokutan sun samu a gindin kasuwar bear," in ji Rekt Capital.
"A cikin 2014, Bitcoin ya gina irin waɗannan lokuta guda biyu: ɗaya kusa da Macro Triangle da ya rushe daga gare shi, ɗayan kuma daga baya a gindin kasuwar bear," ya ci gaba da cewa. Manazarcin ya kammala cewa idan tsarin ya ci gaba, ƙarfafawar na yanzu na iya biye da ƙarin faɗuwa, tare da wani babban lokacin ƙarfafawa da ke samuwa a gindin kasuwar bear a ƙarshe.
Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi
Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi Tsarin Gindin Biyu na Bitcoins Yuwuwar Hawa zuwa 82500
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
1 Menene tsarin Gindin Biyu
Gindin Biyu tsarin jadawali ne wanda yayi kama da harafin W Yana nuna cewa farashin ya yi ƙoƙarin faɗuwa zuwa ƙananan matakai sau biyu, ya kasa karya ƙasa sau biyu, kuma yanzu yana iya juyawa zuwa hawan farashi. Ana ɗaukarsa azaman tsarin juyawa mai haɓakawa.
2 Me yasa mutane ke magana akan 82500 don Bitcoin
Masu bincike suna amfani da tsarin Gindin Biyu don saita maƙasudin farashi. Suna auna tsayin nutsewar tsarin kuma suna hasashen wannan nisa sama daga wurin ficewa. Wannan lissafin, dangane da tsarin tsarin na yanzu, yana nuna yuwuwar hawa zuwa yankin 82500.
3 Shin Gindin Biyu yana ba da garantin cewa Bitcoin zai haɓaka
A'a, ba garantin ba ne. Tsarin jadawali yana nuna yuwuwar, ba tabbatacce ba. Suna ba da shawarar abin da zai iya faruwa dangane da halin farashin tarihi, amma wasu abubuwa, kamar labarai, ƙa'ida, ko yanayin kasuwa, na iya ƙetare tsarin.
4 Menene ficewa a cikin wannan mahallin
Ficewa yana faruwa lokacin da farashin Bitcoin ya tashi kuma ya rufe da yanke shawara sama da matakin tsayin daka—kololuwar a tsakiyar tsarin W. Wannan shine tabbacin cewa masu siye sun ɗauki iko kuma yuwuwar hawan na iya farawa.
5 Menene fuskar ƙi ke nufi
Ƙi yana nufin farashin ya kusanci ko ya taɓa matakin tsayin daka a takaice amma ya kasa karya sama da shi, sannan ya koma ƙasa. Wannan zai ƙaryata saitin mai haɓakawa kuma yana nuna masu siyarwa har yanzu suna da ƙarfi, yuwuwar haifar da wani faɗuwar farashi.
Tambayoyi Masu Zurfi da Aiki
6 Ana lissafta maƙasudin 82500 ta yaya musamman
Ana samun maƙasudin ta hanyar auna nisa daga matakin tsayin daka zuwa ƙananan matakin gindin. Wannan nisa a tsaye ana ƙara shi zuwa matakin tsayin daka da zarar an fice. Misali: Tsayin daka a 68000 - Ƙananan a 60000 = 8000. 68000 + 8000 = 76000 mafi ƙarancin maƙasudi. Adadin 82500 sau da yawa ya haɗa da ƙarin buffer ko kuma ya dogara da madaidaicin ma'auni na zurfin tsarin.
7 Wane tabbacin girma ya kamata in nemi tare da wannan tsarin
Ingantaccen ficewar Gindin Biyu yakamata ya kasance tare da