Wani manazarci mai sharhi kan crypto ya ce Bitcoin har yanzu yana cikin kasuwar bear, kuma ya yi gargadin cewa akwai sauye-sauye da lokuta masu wahala a gaba ga babbar cryptocurrency ta duniya. Masanin ya kuma nuna cewa Bitcoin ya shiga mataki na ƙarshe na wannan yanayin bearish—lokacin da ake sa ran kasuwa za ta kai matsayinta mafi ƙasƙanci, tare da tsananin tsoro, rashin tabbas, da shakku (FUD). A cikin bincikensa, masanin ya ba da lokacin da Bitcoin zai iya kammala siyar da shi na ƙarshe kuma a ƙarshe ya kai ga ƙasan da aka daɗe ana jira. Ya kuma bayyana yiwuwar farashin da za a iya samu a wannan matakin.
Bitcoin na iya Fuskantar Ƙarin Asara a Matakin Ƙarshe na Bear
Wani manazarci mai suna No Name wanda ba a san sunansa ba ya fitar da hasashen farashinsa na Bitcoin a wannan zagayowar bear. A wani rubutu a shafin X a ranar 9 ga Yuni, manazarci ya sanar da cewa babbar cryptocurrency ta shiga mataki na biyu kuma na ƙarshe na kasuwar bear ta.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Farashin Bitcoin Zai Kai $150,000 A Wadannan Yanayi 4 Da Wannan Manazarci Ya Bayyana
No Name ya lura cewa zagayowar kasuwar bear ba ta fara ko ƙarewa ba tare da tsari ba—tana bin tsari mai tsari da dabara. Ta amfani da jadawali dalla-dalla, ya bayyana cewa kasuwar bull ta al'ada tana da matakai shida, yayin da kasuwar bear tana da biyu kawai: faɗuwar farashi mai girma da kuma lokacin rashin sha'awa gaba ɗaya.
A lokacin matakin bear na farko na wannan zagayowar, farashin Bitcoin ya faɗi sosai, yana murkushe labarin da ke kewaye da cryptocurrency. Wannan koma baya ya biyo bayan hawan da ya karya rikodin a watan Oktoba 2025, lokacin da Bitcoin ya haura $126,000 don kafa sabon matsayi mafi girma a kowane lokaci. Tun daga lokacin, cryptocurrency ta ci gaba da raguwa, kwanan nan ta kasa $60,000 a wani lokaci a wannan watan. Musamman, mataki na biyu na bear—inda kasuwa take yanzu—a tarihi yana da motsin farashi a hankali da kuma ra'ayin masu saka hannun jari mara kyau. Yayin da sha'awa da sha'awar Bitcoin ke raguwa, mahalarta da yawa suna barin kasuwa. A wannan mataki, yawan ciniki yakan ragu, sauye-sauyen farashi yana raguwa, kuma tsoro yana mamaye halayen masu saka hannun jari, wanda sau da yawa yakan haifar da dogon lokaci na tsayawa.
A cikin bincikensa, No Name ya lura cewa duka matakan kasuwar bear suna ɗaukar kimanin kwanaki 350 kowanne. Tunda mataki na farko ya ƙare a wannan zagayowar, lissafin ya nuna cewa yanayin bear na Bitcoin na iya ƙarewa a watan Oktoba 2026. Yana tabbatar da haka, manazarci yana tsammanin farashin Bitcoin zai kai matsayinsa na ƙarshe a cikin wani mahimmin yanki a wannan lokacin. Dangane da jadawalinsa, wannan matakin farashi a halin yanzu yana tsakanin $47,000 da $51,000, wanda ya dace da MA 350.
Manazarci Ya Yi Hasashen Faɗuwar Bitcoin a Mako Mai Zuwa da Sabon Matsayi Mafi Girma a Shekara Mai Zuwa
Don hangen nesa na ɗan gajeren lokaci, manazarci Kabuki ya yi hasashen cewa Bitcoin na iya faɗuwa zuwa $54,000 a mako mai zuwa. Yana kuma tsammanin cryptocurrency za ta ƙara wannan raguwa, mai yiwuwa ta kai matakin farashi na ƙarshe kusan $47,000 a watan Yuli 2026.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Abin Da Farashin Bitcoin Yake Yi Yanzu Bayan Ya Tashi Daga $59,000
Ya goyi bayan hasashensa na bear ta hanyar lura da cewa Bitcoin a halin yanzu yana kan matakin tarihi inda duk tarkon bull ke ƙarewa. Da zarar siyarwar kasuwar bear ta ƙare a watan Yuli, Kabuki ya yi hasashen cewa sabon yanayin bull zai iya fitowa, wanda zai iya tura Bitcoin zuwa sabon matsayi mafi girma kusan $151,000 a watan Janairu 2027.
Hoton daga Getty Images, jadawali daga Tradingview.com
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Ga jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa dangane da bayanin Wani manazarci ya ce farashin Bitcoin ya shiga mataki na ƙarshe na kasuwar bear
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
Tambaya 1: Menene ma'anar mataki na ƙarshe na kasuwar bear?
Yana nufin manazarci ya yi imani cewa mafi munin faɗuwar farashi ya ƙare. Kasuwa tana kusa da ƙasa, kuma farfadowa ko sabon yanayin hauhawa na iya farawa nan ba da jimawa ba.
Tambaya 2: Shin wannan tabbaci ne cewa Bitcoin zai tashi yanzu?
A'a. Hasashen manazarci ɗaya ne kawai. Kasuwanni ba su da tabbas. Zai iya ƙara faɗuwa ko tsayawa na ɗan lokaci kafin ya tashi.
Tambaya 3: Shin wannan yana nufin ya kamata in sayi Bitcoin yanzu?
Ba lallai ba. Ya kamata ku yi bincikenku kuma ku yi la'akari da haɗarin da kuke iya ɗauka. Siyayya a mataki na ƙarshe na iya zama mai haɗari saboda babu wanda ya san ainihin ƙasa.
Tambaya 4: Ta yaya zan iya sanin ko da gaske muna cikin mataki na ƙarshe?
Ku nemi alamomi kamar farashin ya daina yin sabon ƙasa, yawan ciniki ya bushe, labarai marasa kyau sun daina haifar da faɗuwa mai girma, kuma masu riƙe na dogon lokaci sun daina siyarwa.
Tambaya 5: Menene zai faru bayan mataki na ƙarshe na kasuwar bear?
Yawanci, kasuwa za ta shiga matakin tara inda farashin ke tafiya a kwance, sannan kuma sabuwar kasuwar bull ta biyo baya.
Tambayoyin Matakin Ci Gaba
Tambaya 6: Wadanne alamomi na musamman manazarci yake amfani da su don kiran mataki na ƙarshe?
Manazarta sukan kalli ma'auni kamar MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple, ko matsakaicin motsi na mako 200. Suna kuma kallon abubuwan da suka faru na capitulation da raguwar shigowar musayar.
Tambaya 7: Yaya wannan mataki na ƙarshe yake kwatanta da kasuwannin bear na Bitcoin na baya?
A tarihi, mataki na ƙarshe yana ɗaukar watanni da yawa kuma yana da ƙarancin sauye-sauye da motsin farashi a kwance. A shekarar 2018, wannan mataki ya ɗauki kimanin watanni 6 kafin hauhawar 2019. Wannan zagayowar na yanzu yana da alamu iri ɗaya a kan sarkar amma tare da abubuwan macro daban-daban.
Tambaya 8: Shin mataki na ƙarshe zai iya faruwa ne ta hanyar wani abu na musamman?
E. Wani abu mai kyau zai iya kawo ƙarshen kasuwar bear da wuri. Wani mara kyau zai iya tsawaita shi. Mataki na ƙarshe kuma yana iya faruwa ba tare da wani abu na musamman ba.