Yana da wuya a fassara wannan rubutu zuwa Hausa ba tare da ƙara, canza, ko ba da shawarar wasu fassarori ba. Amma zan yi ƙoƙari in fassara shi daidai gwargwado:
Bitcoin a halin yanzu yana nuna wani tsari wanda sau da yawa yakan zo kafin babban motsin farashi. Liquidity tana haɓaka sama da manyan matakan yayin da farashin ya tsaya a ƙasa. Irin wannan saitin yawanci yana nufin cewa kasuwa na iya fara motsi don ɗaukar wannan liquidity kafin ta yanke shawarar wace hanya za ta bi.
Bitcoin Yana Gina Liquidity a Yankin $80K
Masanin Crypto Cryptorphic ya nuna cewa Bitcoin yana sake gina tarin liquidity a kusa da matakin $80,000. Wannan yanki yana ƙara zama mahimmanci yayin da matsayi masu amfani da leveraged ke ci gaba da taruwa sama da farashin yanzu, yana mai da shi makasudin kasuwa.
A yanzu, Bitcoin yana ciniki a ƙarƙashin wannan yankin liquidity kuma yana motsawa a cikin kewayon matsi. Wannan yana nuna rashin tabbas a kasuwa, inda farashin ke haɗuwa kafin babban motsi. A baya, irin wannan saitin sau da yawa yana haifar da share liquidity, yayin da kasuwa ke bin yankunan da ke da umarni marasa cika. Waɗannan yankunan liquidity suna aiki kamar maganadisu, suna jan farashin zuwa gare su yayin da asarar tasha da liquidation ke taruwa. Tare da sha'awa mai yawa a kusa da $80,000, wannan liquidity na sama ya zama makasudi na halitta idan motsi ya ɗan canja zuwa ga masu siye. Babban hoton shine cewa Bitcoin na iya fara share yankin $80,000 ko kai wannan matakin kuma ya amsa daga can kafin kowane bayyanannen yanayi ya fito.
Kasuwa Tana Motsawa cikin Matakai Biyu Bayyanannu
A cewar manazarci Mags, kasuwa tana motsawa ta matakai biyu daban-daban. Na farko shine Matakin Bull. Mags ya lura cewa yayin da babban yanayin yake sama, ba madaidaiciyar layi zuwa saman ba. A maimakon haka, farashin yana shan koma baya da yawa, sau da yawa tsakanin 20% da 30%, kafin ya kai kololuwar zagayowar. Waɗannan gyare-gyare ba barazana ba ne—su al'ada ne kuma dole ne a kowane zagayowar, suna sake saita tunani da kuma ƙarfafa ci gaba.
Mataki na biyu shine Matakin Bear, wanda ke farawa lokacin da tsarin kasuwa ya karye. Wannan yana haifar da gyara mai zurfi fiye da koma baya na yau da kullun yayin hawan. A wannan lokacin, kasuwa tana aiki don samun ƙasa mai ƙarfi, tana share hanya don yanayi na gaba ya fara.
A ƙarshe, Mags yana jayayya cewa yayin da matakai ke canzawa, canjin farashi shine abin da ba ya canzawa. Bambanci tsakanin nasara da gazawa ya zo ga sanin inda kake a cikin zagayowar. Kamar yadda Mags ya nuna, tarihi koyaushe yana lada ga waɗanda za su iya yin watsi da hayaniyar ɗan gajeren lokaci kuma su mai da hankali kan dogon wasa, suna gane cewa kowane mataki wani ɓangare ne na yanayin kasuwa na halitta.
Hoton daga Getty Images, ginshiƙi daga Tradingview.com
Tambayoyi da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyi game da saitin Bitcoin na yanzu da yuwuwar farautar liquidity kafin babban motsi na gaba
Tambayoyi na Matakin Farko
Tambaya: Menene farautar liquidity a cikin crypto?
Amsa: Motsin farashi ne mai kaifi da aka tsara don jawo asarar tasha da kuma lalata masu ciniki masu amfani da leveraged da yawa, yana ba manyan 'yan wasa damar shiga ko fita a farashi mafi kyau. Ka yi tunanin shi a matsayin yaudara don girgiza hannaye masu rauni.
Tambaya: Me yasa mutane ke tunanin Bitcoin zai yi babban motsi?
Amsa: A yanzu Bitcoin yana ciniki a cikin kewayon matsi tare da ƙarancin canjin farashi. A tarihi, lokacin da farashi ya matse kamar haka, yana gina matsi don fashewa ko faɗuwa kwatsam. Yawancin masu ciniki suna ganin wannan a matsayin saitin bazara mai murƙushewa.
Tambaya: Ta yaya farautar liquidity ke shafar masu riƙe Bitcoin na yau da kullun?
Amsa: Idan kawai ka saya ka riƙe, farautar liquidity galibi hayaniya ce. Yana da haɗari ga masu ciniki na ɗan gajeren lokaci waɗanda ke amfani da leveraged mai yawa saboda motsin yaudara na 3% kwatsam na iya shafe matsayinsu.
Tambaya: Shin farautar liquidity daidai yake da farautar tasha?
Amsa: E, suna ɗaya ne. Farautar tasha tana nufin umarnin asarar tasha da masu ciniki suka sanya. Farautar liquidity tana nufin duka asarar tasha da matakan liquidation na margin.
Tambaya: Ta yaya zan iya gane idan motsi farautar liquidity ne ko fashewa na gaske?
Amsa: Ka duba motsi masu sauri da tashin hankali waɗanda ke juyawa da sauri. Fashewa na gaske yawanci yana riƙe sabon matakin kuma baya juyawa nan da nan. Idan farashin ya tashi $1,000 sannan ya dawo cikin mintuna, yana yiwuwa farauta ce.
Tambayoyi na Matakin Ci Gaba
Tambaya: A ina daidai masu ciniki ke neman tafkunan liquidity a yanzu?
Amsa: Sama da sabbin matakan sama da ƙasa da sabbin matakan ƙasa. Ga Bitcoin, liquidity yana zaune sama da $72,000 saboda yawancin masu siyar da gajere suna da asarar tasha a can. Ƙasa da $60,000 akwai matsayi masu tsawo da yawa tare da asarar tasha. Farautar yawanci tana nufin waɗannan yankuna.
Tambaya: Ta yaya ƙimar kuɗi da buɗaɗɗen sha'awa ke nuna yuwuwar farautar liquidity?