Bayan kwanaki da dama na raguwa mai tsanani, farashin Bitcoin ya zama kamar ya sami ɗan kwanciyar hankali a kusan $60,000. Amma bayanan kan-sarkar na baya-bayan nan sun nuna cewa babbar cryptocurrency ba za ta daɗe a ƙasa ba, tare da yuwuwar juyawa mai kyau a sararin sama. Shin farashin Bitcoin ya riga ya kafa gindi?
A cikin wani rubutu a kan X a ranar 7 ga Yuni, manazarcin crypto Ali Martinez ya nuna cewa Bitcoin na iya buga babban gindi a wannan zagayowar. Wannan kima ya dogara ne akan canje-canje a ma'aunin "Bitcoin Supply In Loss", wanda ke bin diddigin adadin Bitcoin da ke yawo wanda aka ƙarshe motsa shi a farashi mafi girma fiye da darajar kasuwa na yanzu.
Wannan alamar kan-sarkar tana nuna yawan matsin lamba da masu zuba jari ke ciki—ko kuma zurfin asarar su—yayin da suke riƙe Bitcoin a asarar da ba a gane ba. Lokacin da Supply In Loss ya kai matakan kusa da rikodin, yana nuna tsoro mai yaduwa da yuwuwar canji a yanayin kasuwar Bitcoin. Martinez ya lura cewa a baya, Bitcoin ya kafa manyan gindin zagayowar lokacin da fiye da BTC miliyan 10 aka riƙe a asara.
Bisa ga bayanan Glassnode da Martinez ya nuna, Bitcoin yanzu ya ketare wannan iyaka, tare da tsabar kudi miliyan 10.46—fiye da rabin adadin da ke yawo—a halin yanzu suna cikin ruwa. Kamar yadda aka gani a cikin jadawali, Bitcoin ya ga juyawa mai kyau a ƙarshen 2018 lokacin da wadata a asara ta wuce wannan alamar miliyan 10. Wani tsari makamancin haka ya bayyana a kusa da 2022.
Martinez ya bayyana: "Na yi imani wannan alama ce mai mahimmanci saboda matsin sayarwa yakan ragu yayin da 'yan masu zuba jari ke son gane asara, wanda ke ƙara damar kafa gindin kasuwa." Bisa ga tsarin tarihi, akwai babbar dama cewa gindin farashi yana kafawa ga Bitcoin a matakan yanzu.
Duk da haka, wani muhimmin abu da za a yi la'akari shi ne cewa adadin Bitcoin da ke yawo ya yi ƙasa sosai a duka waɗannan lokutan—kusan miliyan 17.4 a ƙarshen 2018 da miliyan 19.2 a ƙarshen 2022. Tare da babban wadata yanzu, Supply In Loss na iya ƙaruwa a wannan karon, ma'ana farashin Bitcoin na iya ganin ƙarin raguwa. Haka lamarin yake a 2015, lokacin da adadin da ke yawo ya yi ƙasa sosai kuma Supply In Loss bai kai iyakar miliyan 10 ba kafin juyawa mai kyau.
Farashin Bitcoin A Kallo
A yanzu, Bitcoin yana ciniki a kusan $62,746, sama da 2.5% a cikin sa'o'i 24 da suka gabata.
Hotuna daga iStock, jadawali daga TradingView
Tambayoyin da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da aka yi yawa game da wadatar Bitcoin a asara ta ketare wani muhimmin iyaka da yuwuwar juyawa mai kyau
Tambayoyin Matakin Farko
Q Menene ma'anar wadatar Bitcoin a asara
A Yana nufin jimillar adadin Bitcoin da aka saya a farashi mafi girma fiye da darajar kasuwa na yanzu A cikin kalmomi masu sauki, adadin tsabar kudi ne da ke cikin ja ko kuma cikin ruwa
Q Menene ma'anar lokacin da wannan lamba ta ketare wani muhimmin iyaka
A Yana nufin adadin Bitcoin da aka riƙe a asara ya kai matakin tarihi mai mahimmanci A baya lokacin da hakan ya faru, sau da yawa yana nuna cewa kasuwa tana kan gindi kuma juyawar farashi tana zuwa nan ba da jimawa ba
Q Shin babban wadata a asara yana nufin farashin zai tashi kai tsaye
A A'a, ba garantin ba ne Alama ce mai ƙarfi ta tarihi cewa masu sayarwa sun gaji kuma kasuwa ta yi yawa Yana nuna babbar yuwuwar juyawa amma abubuwan waje na iya tura farashin ƙasa
Q Me yasa mutane da yawa da ke riƙe asara zai haifar da hauhawar farashi
A Domin waɗannan masu riƙe ba sa son sayarwa a asara Wannan yana rage adadin tsabar kudi da ke samuwa don sayarwa Lokacin da matsin sayarwa ya ragu kuma sabbin masu siye suka shigo, farashin zai iya tashi cikin sauƙi
Q Ni sabo ne ga Bitcoin Shin ya kamata in saya yanzu saboda wannan alama
A Wannan alama ce mai kyau amma kada ka taɓa saka hannun jari bisa alama ɗaya kawai Yana da kyau ka yi bincikenka, ka yi la'akari da haɗarin da za ka iya ɗauka, kuma da kyau ka jira tabbaci
Tambayoyin Matakin Tsaka-tsaki
Q Menene takamaiman muhimmin iyaka da kake nufi
A A tarihi, lokacin da kashi na wadatar Bitcoin a asara ya kai kusan 40-50% na jimillar adadin da ke yawo, ya yi alamar manyan gindin kasuwa Ketare wannan layi sau da yawa yana nuna ƙarshen lokacin kasuwar bear
Q Yaya ake lissafin wadata a asara