Talla ta hanyar tashin hankali da ta tura Bitcoin zuwa $82,800 bai canza ra'ayin wani manazarci ba game da hasashen koma baya — a gaskiya, ya ce tashin da kansa yana nuna tsarin yana maimaita kansa.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Lokacin da Aka Yi Watsi da Bitcoin, Yana Tafiya Da Ƙarfi, Inji Manazarci
Abin Da Charts Ke Nunawa
Benjamin Cowen, wanda ya kafa kuma Shugaba na Into The Cryptoverse, ya nuna kin amincewa da maimaitawa a matsakaicin motsi na kwanaki 200 a matsayin alama mai mahimmanci. Haka abin ya faru a 2018 da 2022, kuma duka lokutan ya zo ne kafin faɗuwar ƙarshe. Cowen ya kuma lura cewa wasu tallace-tallace na tashin hankali a cikin zagayowar da suka gabata sun wuce makonni 20. Na yanzu ya kwashe makonni 16, wanda ya ce yana raunana hujjar cewa Bitcoin ta riga ta kai ƙasƙanta.
Zagayowar shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin bai mutu ba. Bitcoin ta kai kololuwa a lokacin da take yi koyaushe (a cikin mako ɗaya idan aka auna daga ƙasa zuwa sama), don me ba za ta iya kai ƙasƙanta kusa da ƙarshen shekara ta tsakiya ba, kamar yadda ta saba yi? (1/x) pic.twitter.com/Spoh4s6NRG — Benjamin Cowen (@benjamincowen) Mayu 25, 2026
Bitcoin Ta Kai Kololuwa Akan Lokaci
A cewar Cowen, hawan Bitcoin zuwa $126,200 a watan Oktoba 2025 ya faru ne a cikin taga zagayowar da ake tsammani idan aka auna daga ƙasƙan da ta gabata zuwa sama. Ya yi jayayya cewa wannan lokaci a saman yana sa ya zama da wahala a yi watsi da tsarin guda ɗaya yayin kallon inda ƙasƙanta zai kasance. Zagayowar da suka gabata sun ga ƙasƙanta a watannin ƙarshe na shekara ta tsakiya — musamman Disamba 2018 da Nuwamba 2022. Dangane da wannan tsari, Cowen ya yi imanin cewa ƙasƙanta har yanzu yana nan gaba, mai yiwuwa kusa da ƙarshen 2026.
Charts guda biyu da ya raba suna goyan bayan wannan ra'ayi. Ɗaya yana bin diddigin dawo da jarin daga kololuwar zagayowar kasuwa zuwa ƙasƙan kasuwar bear. Ɗayan kuma yana bin diddigin mai ninka daga ƙasƙan kasuwar bear zuwa kololuwar kasuwar bull na gaba. Dukansu suna bin siffar zagayowar da suka gabata, ko da yake lambobin da ba a sarrafa su ba sun yi ƙanƙanta a wannan karon.
Lokacin Da Faɗuwar Zata Iya Zuwa
Cowen ya riga ya yi alama ga Mayu da Yuni a matsayin taga lokacin da babban faɗuwa na gaba zai fara. Yana tsammanin wannan motsi zai kai Bitcoin ƙasa da ƙasƙan Fabrairu 6 na $60,000 — matakin da wasu manazarta da yawa suka kira ƙasƙan zagayowar.
Karatu Mai Dangantaka: Kasuwar Crypto Ta Ga Fitar Kuɗi $1.46B Yayin Da 'Yan Kasuwa Suka Yi Taka Tsantsan
Ba kowa ba ne yake tsammanin wani faɗuwa. Manazarci Sykodelic ya annabta cewa Bitcoin zai tashi sama da $90,000 a watan Yuni bayan sake gwada wani mahimmin matakin goyon baya. Muhawarar tana nuna rarrabuwa mai faɗi a yadda manazarta ke karanta kasuwa a yanzu.
Ra'ayin Cowen ya dogara ne akan ra'ayin cewa zagayowar shekaru huɗu, wanda ke da alaƙa da jadawalin rabin Bitcoin, yana ci gaba da tafiyar da halayen farashi ta hanyar da ake iya tsinkaya, duk da girman kadarar da canjin tsarin kasuwa.
Hotun daga Pexels, chart daga TradingView
Tambayoyin Da Aka Yi Yawa
Anan akwai jerin tambayoyin da ake yi yawa game da zagayowar shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin bisa ra'ayin cewa wani Shugaba na crypto ya yi imanin cewa har yanzu yana ci gaba
Tambayoyi Na Farko
1 Menene zagayowar shekaru huɗu na Bitcoin?
Tsari ne inda farashin Bitcoin yakan tashi, ya kai kololuwa, ya faɗi sosai, sannan ya sake dawowa a hankali a cikin kusan shekaru huɗu. Wannan yana da alaƙa da taron rabin.
2 Menene rabin kuma me yasa yake da mahimmanci ga zagayowar?
Rabin shine lokacin da aka rage ladan hako sabon Bitcoin rabin. Yana faruwa kowace shekara huɗu. Saboda ƙarancin sabbin Bitcoins da ake ƙirƙira, wadata tana raguwa, wanda a tarihi ya haifar da hauhawar farashi a cikin shekara mai zuwa.
3 Me ake nufi da Shugaban crypto ya ce zagayowar tana ci gaba?
Yana nufin sun yi imanin cewa ba mu kai ƙarshen zagayowar na yanzu ba. Musamman, yana nuna cewa lokacin kololuwar kasuwar bull ko tseren farashi na ƙarshe bai faru ba tukuna, kuma har yanzu muna tsakiyar hawan da ake tsammani.
4 Ta yaya zagayowar ke shafar mutane na yau da kullun da ke siyan Bitcoin?
Idan zagayowar tana ci gaba, zai iya zama lokaci mai kyau don riƙewa ko siya saboda tarihi yana nuna farashin na iya tashi sama kafin babban faɗuwa. Duk da haka, yana kuma nufin haɗarin babban faɗuwa daga baya har yanzu yana nan.
Tambayoyi Na Matsayi Na Gaba
5 Shin muna cikin babban zagayowar da ke karya tsarin shekaru huɗu na gargajiya?
Babban zagayowar zai nufin tsarin hawa da faɗuwa yana tafiyar da hankali a kan lokaci. Shugaban da ya ce zagayowar tana ci gaba gabaɗaya yana jayayya da babban zagayowar. Yana nuna cewa tsarin gargajiya — tseren bull mai ƙarfi wanda kasuwar bear ta biyo baya — har yanzu yana nan.
6 Wane takamaiman alamun kan-sarkar ko kasuwa zai tabbatar da cewa zagayowar tana ci gaba?
Alamu masu mahimmanci sun haɗa da haɓakar MVRV Z-Score da ke ƙasa da matakan kololuwa na tarihi, ƙara yawan adiresoshin da ke aiki, da Puell Multiple wanda bai kai yankin kololuwa na ƙarshe ba. Idan waɗannan suna ci gaba da hawa, zagayowar tana iya kasancewa a tsakiyar mataki.
7 Ta yaya zagayowar na yanzu ta bambanta da zagayowar 2017 ko 2013?
Babban bambanci shine kasancewar masu saka hannun jari na hukumomi. Wannan ya ƙara ƙarin kuɗi kuma ya rage ɗan tashin hankali, amma da'awar Shugaban ita ce cewa tsarin zagayowar na yau da kullun har yanzu yana nan.